Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (19 on the archive and 16 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British / American): 19
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1202 | 1073 | 68% | 2025-05-24 | | Lost |
| 872 | 979 | 35% | 2025-02-03 | | Lost |
| 998 | 1151 | 29% | 2024-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1095 | 46% | 2023-09-17 | | Lost |
| 1170 | 1219 | 43% | 2023-06-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2021-11-17 | | Lost |
| 1125 | 1077 | 57% | 2021-03-17 | | Won |
| 1149 | 1037 | 66% | 2020-04-03 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1008 | 56% | 2017-02-02 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 987 | 72% | 2016-11-13 | | Won |
| 960 | 1000 | 44% | 2016-11-05 | | Lost |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2016-11-05 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2016-11-03 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1064 | 50% | 2016-10-22 | | Lost |
| 1040 | 1219 | 26% | 2016-06-05 | | Won |
| 1028 | 1005 | 53% | 2010-05-11 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 1999-05-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1059.1 vs 1064.7 has a 49.18% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).