Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (17 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British / American): 17
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 933 | 937 | 49% | 2025-02-03 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1021 | 54% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1303 | 29% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 889 | 1073 | 26% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1070 | 52% | 2021-03-17 | Won |
| 1085 | 1021 | 59% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 1064 | 1218 | 29% | 2017-05-20 | Lost |
| 969 | 1013 | 44% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1061 | 48% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 958 | 995 | 45% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1245 | 1049 | 76% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1049 | 1190 | 31% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1303 | 23% | 2016-06-05 | Won |
| 1040 | 1006 | 55% | 2010-05-11 | Won |
| 1128 | 1142 | 48% | 1999-05-29 | Won |
| 1168 | 1178 | 49% | | Won |
| 1168 | 1178 | 49% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1065.6 vs 1103.4 has a 44.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).