Hart Attack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 32 (17 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British / American): 17
Defender wins (German): 15
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1018 | 47% | 2025-05-24 | Lost |
| 1000 | 899 | 64% | 2025-02-03 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1000 | 66% | 2023-09-17 | Lost |
| 1082 | 1318 | 20% | 2023-06-09 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2021-11-17 | Lost |
| 996 | 1021 | 46% | 2021-03-17 | Won |
| 965 | 987 | 47% | 2020-04-03 | Won |
| 982 | 1037 | 42% | 2017-02-02 | Lost |
| 909 | 1135 | 21% | 2016-11-05 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1114 | 50% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1074 | 1113 | 44% | 2016-11-03 | Won |
| 1113 | 1172 | 42% | 2016-10-22 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1318 | 26% | 2016-06-05 | Won |
| 1040 | 1007 | 55% | 2010-05-11 | Won |
| 1081 | 1101 | 47% | 1999-05-29 | Won |
| 841 | 1071 | 21% | | Won |
| 841 | 1071 | 21% | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1017.1 vs 1081.3 has a 40.86% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).