A Ridge Too Far
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 37
Attacker wins (British): 20
Defender wins (German): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1058 | 943 | 66% | 2026-06-21 | Won |
| 1019 | 1008 | 52% | 2025-07-12 | Won |
| 992 | 1015 | 47% | 2025-04-29 | Won |
| 995 | 1004 | 49% | 2025-03-13 | Won |
| 952 | 1156 | 24% | 2024-11-25 | Lost |
| 987 | 983 | 51% | 2024-09-22 | Lost |
| 979 | 1290 | 14% | 2023-11-27 | Lost |
| 1175 | 983 | 75% | 2022-04-10 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1004 | 52% | 2021-11-09 | Lost |
| 983 | 962 | 53% | 2021-06-21 | Won |
| 1427 | 1431 | 49% | 2020-12-22 | Lost |
| 983 | 983 | 50% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
| 1038 | 999 | 56% | 2020-10-03 | Won |
| 1028 | 1024 | 51% | 2020-09-11 | Won |
| 1046 | 1028 | 53% | 2020-08-02 | Won |
| 1012 | 1006 | 51% | 2020-06-28 | Won |
| 1431 | 945 | 94% | 2020-04-07 | Won |
| 1228 | 983 | 80% | 2019-07-15 | Lost |
| 989 | 1026 | 45% | 2019-03-01 | Won |
| 1073 | 940 | 68% | 2018-05-19 | Lost |
| 971 | 983 | 48% | 2017-07-16 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1142 | 32% | 2017-06-17 | Lost |
| 983 | 878 | 65% | 2016-09-01 | Tied |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-11-21 | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-11-21 | Lost |
| 850 | 939 | 37% | 2015-06-22 | Won |
| 1070 | 971 | 64% | 2014-04-10 | Lost |
| 1221 | 1213 | 51% | 2014-03-29 | Won |
| 981 | 981 | 50% | 2014-03-26 | Won |
| 1002 | 983 | 53% | 2011-10-28 | Won |
| 1178 | 1039 | 69% | 2011-01-24 | Won |
| 1020 | 1029 | 49% | 2010-07-12 | Won |
| 1013 | 1215 | 24% | 2010-06-27 | Lost |
| 906 | 976 | 40% | 2008-09-26 | Won |
| 984 | 1107 | 33% | 2006-09-23 | Lost |
| 1107 | 984 | 67% | 2006-09-16 | Won |
| 832 | 860 | 46% | 2006-09-04 | Lost |
Attacking (20 wins) average ELOs: 1033.5 vs 1026.4 has a 51.02% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).