Retaking Vierville
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 322
Attacker wins (German): 136
Defender wins (American): 180
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 3
Attacker wins (German): 3
Defender wins (American): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 0
Defender wins (American): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1000 | 1038 | 45% | 2026-07-05 | Lost | |
| 1049 | 1000 | 57% | 2026-06-01 | Lost | |
| 1059 | 942 | 66% | 2026-03-01 | Lost | |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2026-02-01 | Won | |
| 942 | 1059 | 34% | 2026-01-25 | Won | |
| 1021 | 1000 | 53% | 2026-01-17 | A | Won |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2025-12-30 | Lost | |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2025-11-15 | Won | |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2025-10-14 | Tied | |
| 1000 | 1090 | 37% | 2025-08-17 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1090 | 37% | 2025-07-27 | Lost | |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2025-07-06 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1027 | 46% | 2025-06-13 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2025-06-06 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2025-06-04 | A | Won |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2025-04-01 | Won | |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2025-01-25 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1011 | 48% | 2025-01-11 | Lost | |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2024-12-15 | Won | |
| 869 | 1000 | 32% | 2024-12-07 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 985 | 52% | 2024-11-24 | Won | |
| 1015 | 1038 | 47% | 2024-10-03 | Won | |
| 1015 | 992 | 53% | 2024-08-27 | Won | |
| 951 | 1008 | 42% | 2024-08-15 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 987 | 52% | 2024-07-28 | Won | |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2024-06-27 | Won | |
| 1290 | 1000 | 84% | 2024-06-17 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1028 | 46% | 2024-01-19 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2023-12-25 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2023-12-10 | Lost | |
| 1028 | 1000 | 54% | 2023-11-29 | Lost | |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2023-11-22 | A | Won |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2023-08-27 | Lost | |
| 1142 | 1000 | 69% | 2023-08-19 | Lost | |
| 1037 | 996 | 56% | 2023-05-09 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1185 | 26% | 2023-03-31 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 970 | 54% | 2023-03-20 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1290 | 16% | 2023-03-01 | D | Lost |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-03-01 | Won | |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2023-02-17 | Won | |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 2023-01-16 | Lost | |
| 1145 | 1000 | 70% | 2023-01-01 | Won | |
| 1028 | 1000 | 54% | 2022-12-30 | Won | |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2022-12-29 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1258 | 18% | 2022-12-28 | Lost | |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2022-12-17 | Won | |
| 1028 | 1000 | 54% | 2022-09-22 | Lost | |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2022-08-21 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 970 | 54% | 2022-08-11 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2022-08-01 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2022-06-19 | Lost | |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2022-06-18 | Lost | |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2022-06-12 | Won | |
| 1000 | 919 | 61% | 2022-05-25 | Lost | |
| 1037 | 996 | 56% | 2022-05-05 | Lost | |
| 878 | 1000 | 33% | 2022-04-07 | Lost | |
| 1028 | 833 | 75% | 2022-03-05 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2022-03-02 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2022-02-21 | Won | |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2022-02-13 | Won | |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2022-01-25 | Won | |
| 1140 | 1049 | 63% | 2021-12-16 | Lost | |
| 878 | 1000 | 33% | 2021-11-26 | Lost | |
| 979 | 1000 | 47% | 2021-10-10 | Lost | |
| 1143 | 1000 | 69% | 2021-10-01 | Won | |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2021-09-12 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1018 | 47% | 2021-08-28 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2021-08-22 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 890 | 65% | 2021-07-26 | Won | |
| 1012 | 1000 | 52% | 2021-07-15 | Won | |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2021-07-01 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2021-06-25 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2021-05-24 | Won | |
| 1016 | 1056 | 44% | 2021-05-13 | Won | |
| 965 | 1000 | 45% | 2021-05-05 | Won | |
| 965 | 1000 | 45% | 2021-04-28 | Won | |
| 1000 | 965 | 55% | 2021-04-25 | Won | |
| 1000 | 965 | 55% | 2021-04-04 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 998 | 50% | 2021-03-21 | Lost | |
| 1048 | 1048 | 50% | 2021-03-08 | Lost | |
| 989 | 1187 | 24% | 2021-03-07 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2021-02-14 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2021-02-04 | Lost | |
| 1006 | 984 | 53% | 2021-02-04 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2021-01-13 | Lost | |
| 1024 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-12-31 | Lost | |
| 1029 | 1000 | 54% | 2020-12-31 | Won | |
| 979 | 1125 | 30% | 2020-12-14 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2020-11-23 | Won | |
| 880 | 1004 | 33% | 2020-10-31 | Lost | |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-10-25 | Tied | |
| 1000 | 932 | 60% | 2020-10-10 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2020-08-28 | Won | |
| 944 | 1000 | 42% | 2020-08-02 | Won | |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2020-08-01 | Lost | |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2020-07-18 | Won | |
| 945 | 1000 | 42% | 2020-07-15 | Won | |
| 1057 | 1000 | 58% | 2020-07-11 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1227 | 21% | 2020-06-23 | Lost | |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2020-06-23 | Lost | |
| 984 | 1143 | 29% | 2020-06-05 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1044 | 44% | 2020-05-27 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1044 | 44% | 2020-05-27 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 989 | 52% | 2020-05-22 | Lost | |
| 1044 | 1000 | 56% | 2020-05-19 | Won | |
| 1258 | 989 | 82% | 2020-05-08 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2020-05-08 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1133 | 32% | 2020-04-03 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2020-03-19 | Won | |
| 1030 | 1000 | 54% | 2020-02-15 | Won | |
| 1164 | 1102 | 59% | 2020-02-13 | Lost | |
| 1002 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-02-09 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2020-01-12 | Lost | |
| 1172 | 1000 | 73% | 2020-01-06 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1052 | 43% | 2020-01-04 | Won | |
| 1000 | 912 | 62% | 2019-12-27 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 930 | 60% | 2019-12-16 | Lost | |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2019-12-07 | Won | |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2019-12-01 | Lost | |
| 944 | 843 | 64% | 2019-11-29 | Lost | |
| 1044 | 1000 | 56% | 2019-11-18 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1172 | 27% | 2019-11-13 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2019-10-18 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1006 | 49% | 2019-09-28 | Lost | |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2019-09-16 | Won | |
| 1172 | 1000 | 73% | 2019-08-15 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1172 | 27% | 2019-07-10 | Lost | |
| 945 | 1133 | 25% | 2019-05-23 | Lost | |
| 1220 | 1000 | 78% | 2019-04-07 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1220 | 22% | 2019-03-31 | Lost | |
| 1174 | 1000 | 73% | 2019-02-17 | Won | |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2019-02-09 | Won | |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2019-02-02 | Won | |
| 1036 | 1015 | 53% | 2019-01-23 | Won | |
| 1142 | 1000 | 69% | 2019-01-13 | Won | |
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2019-01-05 | Lost | |
| 936 | 1000 | 41% | 2018-12-16 | Lost | |
| 977 | 1015 | 45% | 2018-12-11 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-12-06 | Tied | |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2018-12-04 | Won | |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2018-11-21 | Lost | |
| 965 | 1082 | 34% | 2018-11-16 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2018-11-10 | Lost | |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2018-11-03 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2018-10-14 | Lost | |
| 1070 | 974 | 63% | 2018-08-18 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2018-08-05 | Lost | |
| 1066 | 905 | 72% | 2018-07-01 | Won | |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2018-05-24 | Won | |
| 1000 | 984 | 52% | 2018-05-03 | Lost | |
| 1033 | 1054 | 47% | 2018-04-04 | Won | |
| 1174 | 1000 | 73% | 2018-03-17 | Won | |
| 966 | 982 | 48% | 2018-03-15 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2018-03-04 | Lost | |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2018-03-03 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2018-02-28 | Lost | |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2018-02-04 | Lost | |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2018-01-07 | Lost | |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2018-01-01 | Won | |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2018-01-01 | Lost | |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2018-01-01 | Won | |
| 1000 | 930 | 60% | 2017-12-30 | Won | |
| 966 | 1000 | 45% | 2017-12-21 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2017-11-25 | Tied | |
| 939 | 966 | 46% | 2017-11-17 | Lost | |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-10-13 | Lost | |
| 992 | 1000 | 49% | 2017-10-02 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2017-09-25 | Lost | |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-08-31 | Won | |
| 1000 | 959 | 56% | 2017-08-25 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2017-07-26 | Won | |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2017-07-19 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2017-07-08 | Won | |
| 980 | 1000 | 47% | 2017-06-30 | Lost | |
| 1040 | 1000 | 56% | 2017-06-13 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1142 | 31% | 2017-05-30 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2017-05-12 | Lost | |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2017-03-15 | Won | |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2017-03-15 | Won | |
| 1000 | 862 | 69% | 2017-03-12 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1013 | 48% | 2017-03-11 | Lost | |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2017-02-19 | Lost | |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2017-02-18 | Lost | |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2017-02-15 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2017-01-17 | Lost | |
| 932 | 1220 | 16% | 2016-12-10 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-11-24 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1085 | 38% | 2016-11-21 | Lost | |
| 1085 | 894 | 75% | 2016-10-29 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-10-09 | Won | |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2016-09-17 | Lost | |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2016-07-29 | Won | |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2016-07-24 | Won | |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2016-07-22 | Tied | |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2016-07-03 | Lost | |
| 1074 | 971 | 64% | 2016-04-02 | Won | |
| 890 | 1000 | 35% | 2016-03-31 | Won | |
| 1071 | 1000 | 60% | 2016-01-30 | Won | |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2016-01-15 | Lost | |
| 966 | 885 | 61% | 2016-01-01 | Lost | |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-11-15 | Lost | |
| 981 | 846 | 69% | 2015-11-15 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2015-09-19 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2015-08-01 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 926 | 60% | 2015-07-28 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2015-07-20 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2015-07-16 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2015-07-09 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2015-07-09 | Lost | |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-06-18 | Won | |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2015-06-14 | Won | |
| 926 | 881 | 56% | 2015-05-29 | Lost | |
| 1071 | 926 | 70% | 2015-05-09 | Won | |
| 1000 | 926 | 60% | 2015-05-09 | Won | |
| 1071 | 968 | 64% | 2015-04-05 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2015-03-11 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2015-03-11 | Lost | |
| 1085 | 1000 | 62% | 2015-02-19 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1435 | 8% | 2015-01-17 | Won | |
| 1044 | 1000 | 56% | 2014-12-28 | Won | |
| 1057 | 1000 | 58% | 2014-12-23 | Won | |
| 1006 | 1000 | 51% | 2014-11-24 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2014-09-12 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1016 | 48% | 2014-08-27 | Lost | |
| 953 | 1220 | 18% | 2014-08-05 | Lost | |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2014-06-08 | Won | |
| 1000 | 926 | 60% | 2014-06-05 | Won | |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2014-05-01 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1085 | 38% | 2014-04-27 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 926 | 60% | 2014-04-05 | Won | |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2014-03-26 | Tied | |
| 1000 | 1220 | 22% | 2014-03-15 | Lost | |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2014-03-08 | Lost | |
| 1220 | 1000 | 78% | 2014-03-01 | Won | |
| 1233 | 1000 | 79% | 2014-02-26 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2014-02-15 | Lost | |
| 981 | 1000 | 47% | 2014-01-23 | Won | |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2013-11-22 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2013-07-15 | Won | |
| 1000 | 926 | 60% | 2013-07-02 | Lost | |
| 1135 | 1000 | 69% | 2013-06-20 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1135 | 31% | 2013-06-19 | Lost | |
| 947 | 1000 | 42% | 2013-04-20 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1431 | 8% | 2013-04-01 | Lost | |
| 1431 | 1000 | 92% | 2013-04-01 | Won | |
| 907 | 989 | 38% | 2012-12-27 | Lost | |
| 891 | 1000 | 35% | 2012-10-23 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2012-08-12 | Lost | |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2012-07-20 | Lost | |
| 1033 | 1000 | 55% | 2012-06-07 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1017 | 48% | 2012-05-23 | Lost | |
| 1215 | 916 | 85% | 2011-12-28 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2011-11-28 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1012 | 48% | 2011-11-24 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1024 | 47% | 2011-10-29 | Lost | |
| 1028 | 1000 | 54% | 2011-09-05 | Lost | |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2011-08-29 | Lost | |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 2011-08-26 | Lost | |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2011-06-12 | Won | |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2011-05-08 | Lost | |
| 1016 | 1000 | 52% | 2011-02-12 | Won | |
| 1039 | 1000 | 56% | 2011-01-16 | Won | |
| 1028 | 968 | 59% | 2010-12-11 | Won | |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2010-11-06 | Won | |
| 1028 | 960 | 60% | 2010-07-20 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2010-06-16 | Lost | |
| 959 | 1000 | 44% | 2010-04-07 | Won | |
| 1031 | 1000 | 54% | 2010-04-07 | Won | |
| 953 | 1000 | 43% | 2010-04-05 | Won | |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2010-03-12 | Won | |
| 954 | 1056 | 36% | 2010-03-07 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2010-01-29 | Lost | |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2010-01-24 | Lost | |
| 1039 | 1215 | 27% | 2010-01-23 | Won | |
| 1215 | 1039 | 73% | 2010-01-16 | Lost | |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2010-01-08 | Won | |
| 987 | 1056 | 40% | 2010-01-01 | Lost | |
| 1029 | 1020 | 51% | 2009-11-17 | Won | |
| 936 | 1000 | 41% | 2009-11-10 | Lost | |
| 1018 | 1000 | 53% | 2009-08-19 | Won | |
| 1126 | 1000 | 67% | 2009-08-01 | Lost | |
| 1039 | 983 | 58% | 2009-07-28 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2009-07-18 | Lost | |
| 1045 | 1000 | 56% | 2009-07-08 | Won | |
| 1000 | 960 | 56% | 2009-06-15 | Lost | |
| 946 | 1019 | 40% | 2009-05-28 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1126 | 33% | 2009-05-07 | Won | |
| 1008 | 1045 | 45% | 2009-04-27 | Lost | |
| 1096 | 1000 | 63% | 2009-03-01 | Won | |
| 986 | 1000 | 48% | 2009-02-05 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1215 | 22% | 2008-12-28 | Lost | |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2008-11-15 | Lost | |
| 891 | 1000 | 35% | 2008-11-01 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1008 | 49% | 2008-09-18 | Lost | |
| 896 | 1000 | 35% | 2008-09-05 | Won | |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2008-07-04 | Lost | |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2008-06-13 | Won | |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2008-06-08 | Won | |
| 1152 | 1000 | 71% | 2008-03-11 | Won | |
| 1087 | 1152 | 41% | 2008-02-03 | Lost | |
| 1019 | 946 | 60% | 2008-01-29 | Lost | |
| 969 | 1000 | 46% | 2008-01-10 | Won | |
| 1000 | 913 | 62% | 2007-10-06 | Won | |
| 905 | 1016 | 35% | 2007-09-17 | Lost | |
| 954 | 951 | 50% | 2007-05-24 | Lost | |
| 954 | 951 | 50% | 2007-05-24 | Lost | |
| 954 | 951 | 50% | 2007-05-20 | Lost | |
| 1174 | 1047 | 68% | 2006-11-01 | Lost | |
| 862 | 908 | 43% | 2006-10-19 | Won | |
| 917 | 1167 | 19% | 2006-07-20 | Lost | |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2006-05-19 | Won | |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2006-04-04 | Won | |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2005-06-08 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2005-04-07 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2004-10-10 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2004-08-17 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 891 | 65% | 2004-08-15 | Lost | |
| 1127 | 1000 | 68% | 2004-07-15 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 982 | 53% | 2004-06-13 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 2004-06-04 | Lost | |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2004-05-31 | Lost | |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 2004-04-30 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2004-04-23 | Lost | |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 2004-04-22 | Lost |
Attacking (137 wins) average ELOs: 1019.1 vs 1020.3 has a 49.82% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).