A Little Bit Closer to Heaven
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Free French ): 5
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2023-07-24 | Won |
| 961 | 1038 | 39% | 2021-10-17 | Won |
| 880 | 880 | 50% | 2019-04-07 | Won |
| 1008 | 1000 | 51% | 2010-12-17 | Lost |
| 1164 | 833 | 87% | 2002-08-21 | Lost |
| 1137 | 1081 | 58% | 2002-07-03 | Lost |
| 1123 | 1008 | 66% | 2001-09-23 | Lost |
| 913 | 913 | 50% | 2001-06-27 | Won |
| 1235 | 1292 | 42% | 2001-01-06 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1046.8 vs 1005 has a 55.98% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).