Under a Sky of Lead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 8
Attacker wins (German): 5
Defender wins (Free French): 3
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 989 | 1042 | 42% | 2023-03-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 692 | 85% | 2022-06-06 | | Won |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2019-03-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2004-03-16 | | Won |
| 832 | 1159 | 13% | 2002-08-23 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1055 | 42% | 1999-11-12 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 1999-10-30 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 1999-02-19 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 996.9 vs 1010 has a 48.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).