Under a Sky of Lead
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43 (6 on the archive and 37 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 26
Defender wins (Free French): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 995 | 1109 | 34% | 2023-03-06 | Won |
| 893 | 854 | 56% | 2022-06-06 | Won |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2019-03-30 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1055 | 45% | 2004-03-16 | Won |
| 847 | 1155 | 15% | 2002-08-23 | Lost |
| 1105 | 1068 | 55% | 1999-11-12 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 982.8 vs 1046.5 has a 40.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).