Devil's Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 179 (24 on the archive and 155 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 96
Defender wins (German): 83
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 808 | 1159 | 12% | 2025-12-23 | | Lost |
| 859 | 1000 | 31% | 2025-02-09 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2022-11-07 | | Lost |
| 1082 | 1000 | 62% | 2019-08-23 | | Lost |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-02-01 | | Won |
| 943 | 1000 | 42% | 2018-03-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 2017-11-26 | | Lost |
| 941 | 1098 | 29% | 2016-06-13 | | Lost |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2015-05-01 | | Lost |
| 850 | 1000 | 30% | 2015-04-14 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2013-03-24 | | Lost |
| 922 | 1000 | 39% | 2012-02-21 | | Won |
| 969 | 1035 | 41% | 2006-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2004-09-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1056 | 42% | 2001-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2001-01-26 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2001-01-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2001-01-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1156 | 29% | 2000-12-28 | | Won |
| 1125 | 1141 | 48% | 1999-10-06 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1998-03-29 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1040 | 44% | 1997-11-15 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Lost |
| 832 | 1086 | 19% | | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 984.9 vs 1058.3 has a 39.6% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).