Aachen's Pall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 178 (31 on the archive and 147 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 106
Defender wins (German): 72
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2023-12-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 971 | 54% | 2022-01-17 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 2021-09-24 | | Won |
| 1097 | 950 | 70% | 2019-06-11 | | Won |
| 950 | 1097 | 30% | 2019-06-11 | | Lost |
| 1142 | 1000 | 69% | 2017-12-29 | | Lost |
| 1078 | 1219 | 31% | 2017-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1266 | 1170 | 63% | 2016-07-28 | | Won |
| 953 | 1008 | 42% | 2016-07-18 | | Won |
| 1108 | 1000 | 65% | 2016-05-31 | | Won |
| 964 | 1075 | 35% | 2016-05-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2015-10-09 | | Won |
| 1000 | 850 | 70% | 2015-04-04 | | Won |
| 1226 | 1000 | 79% | 2014-08-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2009-05-02 | | Lost |
| 1050 | 994 | 58% | 2003-08-31 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1120 | 35% | 2003-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 832 | 82% | 2002-12-08 | | Won |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2002-09-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1023 | 47% | 2002-08-31 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2000-06-18 | | Won |
| 1101 | 948 | 71% | 2000-04-30 | | Won |
| 1047 | 1000 | 57% | 1999-12-27 | | Lost |
| 1187 | 1242 | 42% | 1998-10-25 | | Lost |
| 987 | 1000 | 48% | 1998-10-23 | | Won |
| 993 | 987 | 51% | 1998-10-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 1998-10-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 1997-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1097 | 1000 | 64% | 1995-05-21 | | Won |
| 1055 | 1000 | 58% | 1993-10-29 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1058.6 vs 1028.7 has a 54.3% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).