Aachen's Pall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (German): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
| 1024 | 1078 | 42% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1058 | 950 | 65% | 2019-06-11 | Won |
| 950 | 1058 | 35% | 2019-06-11 | Lost |
| 933 | 959 | 46% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1253 | 23% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1256 | 1180 | 61% | 2016-07-28 | Won |
| 953 | 1007 | 42% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
| 1107 | 1040 | 60% | 2016-05-31 | Won |
| 991 | 1052 | 41% | 2016-05-17 | Won |
| 939 | 962 | 47% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 856 | 847 | 51% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 1174 | 1018 | 71% | 2014-08-03 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1041 | 72% | 2009-05-02 | Lost |
| 970 | 1068 | 36% | 2003-08-31 | Won |
| 1000 | 1123 | 33% | 2003-01-01 | Lost |
| 1198 | 831 | 89% | 2002-12-08 | Won |
| 1173 | 986 | 75% | 2002-09-15 | Won |
| 1092 | 1041 | 57% | 2002-08-31 | Won |
| 1140 | 977 | 72% | 2000-06-18 | Won |
| 1101 | 947 | 71% | 2000-04-30 | Won |
| 1192 | 1263 | 40% | 1998-10-25 | Lost |
| 950 | 1031 | 39% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 993 | 950 | 56% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 1290 | 1263 | 54% | 1998-10-14 | Won |
| 1198 | 1118 | 61% | 1995-05-21 | Won |
| 1024 | 941 | 62% | 1993-10-29 | Won |
| 1012 | 872 | 69% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1065.1 vs 1034.4 has a 54.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).