Aachen's Pall
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (American): 21
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2023-12-28 | Lost |
| 892 | 971 | 39% | 2022-01-17 | Won |
| 1084 | 1078 | 51% | 2021-09-24 | Won |
| 1090 | 950 | 69% | 2019-06-11 | Won |
| 950 | 1090 | 31% | 2019-06-11 | Lost |
| 1156 | 958 | 76% | 2017-12-29 | Lost |
| 1077 | 1219 | 31% | 2017-01-14 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1227 | 44% | 2016-07-28 | Won |
| 953 | 1008 | 42% | 2016-07-18 | Won |
| 1107 | 1040 | 60% | 2016-05-31 | Won |
| 1010 | 1032 | 47% | 2016-05-17 | Won |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2015-10-09 | Won |
| 858 | 850 | 51% | 2015-04-04 | Won |
| 1179 | 1019 | 72% | 2014-08-03 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1036 | 72% | 2009-05-02 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1047 | 43% | 2003-08-31 | Won |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2003-01-01 | Lost |
| 1065 | 833 | 79% | 2002-12-08 | Won |
| 1119 | 986 | 68% | 2002-09-15 | Won |
| 1092 | 1031 | 59% | 2002-08-31 | Won |
| 1141 | 980 | 72% | 2000-06-18 | Won |
| 1101 | 948 | 71% | 2000-04-30 | Won |
| 1025 | 1062 | 45% | 1999-12-27 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1263 | 41% | 1998-10-25 | Lost |
| 1011 | 1031 | 47% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 993 | 1011 | 47% | 1998-10-23 | Won |
| 1290 | 1263 | 54% | 1998-10-14 | Won |
| 1041 | 1025 | 52% | 1997-11-16 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1118 | 42% | 1995-05-21 | Won |
| 1084 | 943 | 69% | 1993-10-29 | Won |
| 1077 | 873 | 76% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (21 wins) average ELOs: 1070 vs 1036.2 has a 54.85% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).