The Dead of Winter
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (Russian): 5
Defender wins (German): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1010 | 56% | 2022-10-27 | Won |
| 1266 | 748 | 95% | 2020-11-23 | Won |
| 998 | 1157 | 29% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1006 | 1056 | 43% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2020-11-05 | Lost |
| 847 | 1240 | 9% | 2020-11-04 | Won |
| 1039 | 1094 | 42% | 2016-11-02 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1111 | 46% | 2004-09-29 | Won |
| 1080 | 1088 | 49% | 1997-10-08 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1059.3 vs 1052.3 has a 51.01% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).