The Awakening of Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 46 (11 on the archive and 35 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 24
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 974 | 54% | 2022-04-09 | | Won |
| 904 | 1055 | 30% | 2018-11-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1150 | 30% | 2017-06-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1226 | 21% | 2014-04-27 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1230 | 21% | 2011-08-08 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2009-11-24 | | Won |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2008-09-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1007 | 49% | 2004-04-12 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1000 | 74% | 1997-03-01 | | Won |
| 1086 | 1000 | 62% | | | Won |
| 967 | 1086 | 34% | | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1042.4 vs 1060.1 has a 47.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).