The Awakening of Spring
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 45 (11 on the archive and 34 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 22
Defender wins (Russian): 23
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 1010 | 57% | 2022-04-09 | Won |
| 904 | 1058 | 29% | 2018-11-28 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1177 | 28% | 2017-06-24 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1226 | 35% | 2014-04-27 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1143 | 43% | 2011-08-08 | Lost |
| 1095 | 986 | 65% | 2009-11-24 | Won |
| 1138 | 884 | 81% | 2008-09-20 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1085 | 48% | 2004-04-12 | Won |
| 1174 | 1196 | 47% | 1997-03-01 | Won |
| 1083 | 1095 | 48% | | Won |
| 966 | 1083 | 34% | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1064.8 vs 1085.7 has a 46.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).