Vaagso Venture
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 33 (6 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 16
Defender wins (German): 17
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 994 | 44% | 2021-05-07 | Lost |
| 935 | 1068 | 32% | 2020-05-24 | Lost |
| 965 | 1218 | 19% | 2020-05-07 | Lost |
| 852 | 983 | 32% | 2013-06-22 | Won |
| 936 | 1010 | 40% | 2011-08-13 | Won |
| 1115 | 1026 | 63% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 959.5 vs 1049.8 has a 37.29% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).