GOYA
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (9 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2024-01-31 | Won |
| 953 | 1056 | 36% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 910 | 998 | 38% | 2019-06-03 | Lost |
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2017-08-09 | Won |
| 989 | 1022 | 45% | 2015-01-01 | Lost |
| 694 | 1022 | 13% | 2012-09-22 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1090 | 51% | 2006-08-23 | Won |
| 906 | 1170 | 18% | 2001-12-13 | Won |
| 967 | 1092 | 33% | 2001-11-18 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 958.2 vs 1074 has a 33.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).