GOYA
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 30 (9 on the archive and 21 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 19
Defender wins (German): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1152 | 1152 | 50% | 2024-01-31 | Won |
| 1017 | 973 | 56% | 2020-07-25 | Won |
| 846 | 1019 | 27% | 2019-06-03 | Lost |
| 1021 | 1022 | 50% | 2017-08-09 | Won |
| 989 | 1001 | 48% | 2015-01-01 | Lost |
| 697 | 1125 | 8% | 2012-09-22 | Lost |
| 1099 | 1088 | 52% | 2006-08-23 | Won |
| 907 | 1241 | 13% | 2001-12-13 | Won |
| 1128 | 1092 | 55% | 2001-11-18 | Won |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 984 vs 1079.2 has a 36.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).