Bone of Contention
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Partisan (BCRA)): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1031 | 48% | 2022-12-02 | Lost |
| 959 | 1011 | 43% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 959 | 1011 | 43% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 1011 | 959 | 57% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 1011 | 959 | 57% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 992 | 1018 | 46% | 2018-07-25 | Lost |
| 952 | 948 | 51% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1107 | 1143 | 45% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
| 1156 | 874 | 84% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 1032 | 1010 | 53% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
| 1135 | 961 | 73% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1029 | 1132 | 36% | 2015-06-11 | Tied |
| 1107 | 965 | 69% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 1227 | 1028 | 76% | 2013-03-23 | Won |
| 1070 | 891 | 74% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 986 | 1109 | 33% | 2007-04-08 | Lost |
| 833 | 1076 | 20% | 2002-09-18 | Won |
| 1025 | 1025 | 50% | 2001-09-13 | Lost |
| 865 | 1094 | 21% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1195 | 1013 | 74% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1195 | 951 | 80% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1079 | 1079 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1044.3 vs 1016 has a 54.07% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).