Bone of Contention
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 12
Defender wins (Partisan (BCRA)): 11
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 999 | 1002 | 50% | 2022-12-02 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 984 | 1000 | 48% | 2018-07-25 | Lost |
| 1001 | 1000 | 50% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1018 | 1000 | 53% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
| 998 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
| 985 | 1000 | 48% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1044 | 49% | 2015-06-11 | Tied |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 1200 | 1033 | 72% | 2013-03-23 | Won |
| 1000 | 978 | 53% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 986 | 1159 | 27% | 2007-04-08 | Lost |
| 833 | 1164 | 13% | 2002-09-18 | Won |
| 1093 | 1093 | 50% | 2001-09-13 | Lost |
| 865 | 1085 | 22% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1074 | 1001 | 60% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1074 | 946 | 68% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 845 | 1060 | 22% | | Lost |
| 845 | 1060 | 22% | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 992.9 vs 1027.2 has a 45.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).