Bone of Contention
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 21
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 11
Defender wins (Partisan (BCRA)): 9
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 958 | 1038 | 39% | 2022-12-02 | Lost |
| 984 | 997 | 48% | 2022-10-13 | Won |
| 997 | 984 | 52% | 2022-10-05 | Lost |
| 874 | 1017 | 31% | 2018-07-25 | Lost |
| 944 | 945 | 50% | 2017-03-17 | Won |
| 1094 | 1145 | 43% | 2017-03-07 | Lost |
| 1015 | 873 | 69% | 2016-08-14 | Won |
| 1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2016-03-25 | Won |
| 1144 | 1033 | 65% | 2015-10-08 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1133 | 45% | 2015-06-11 | Tied |
| 1114 | 927 | 75% | 2013-10-12 | Won |
| 1276 | 1026 | 81% | 2013-03-23 | Won |
| 1067 | 889 | 74% | 2013-01-27 | Lost |
| 979 | 1119 | 31% | 2007-04-08 | Lost |
| 844 | 1129 | 16% | 2002-09-18 | Won |
| 864 | 1069 | 24% | 1998-10-01 | Won |
| 1128 | 951 | 73% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1128 | 1013 | 66% | 1990-01-01 | Won |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1043 vs 1031.1 has a 51.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).