Chance D'une Affaire
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 9
Attacker wins (French): 3
Defender wins (German): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2026-02-17 | Lost |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2022-02-04 | Won |
| 1102 | 899 | 76% | 2020-08-24 | Lost |
| 948 | 956 | 49% | 2019-12-08 | Won |
| 966 | 1042 | 39% | 2016-10-08 | Lost |
| 890 | 1102 | 23% | 2008-10-10 | Lost |
| 1140 | 753 | 90% | 2000-05-11 | Won |
| 994 | 1003 | 49% | 1999-04-23 | Lost |
| 982 | 1127 | 30% | 1996-06-28 | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1020.6 vs 989.1 has a 54.51% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).