The Whirlwind
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 19
Attacker wins (German): 10
Defender wins (American): 8
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (American): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1136 | 945 | 75% | 2026-04-25 | Won |
| 968 | 969 | 50% | 2024-03-09 | Won |
| 1113 | 780 | 87% | 2022-04-23 | Won |
| 1012 | 971 | 56% | 2021-10-06 | Won |
| 1012 | 971 | 56% | 2021-10-06 | Won |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2021-09-29 | Lost |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2021-09-29 | Lost |
| 1142 | 991 | 70% | 2018-04-28 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2018-03-06 | Lost |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2017-03-16 | Lost |
| 850 | 1190 | 12% | 2015-09-02 | Lost |
| 1226 | 1169 | 58% | 2015-04-26 | Won |
| 870 | 1093 | 22% | 2012-04-03 | Won |
| 1052 | 953 | 64% | 2009-07-25 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1150 | 51% | 2004-10-05 | Lost |
| 1065 | 968 | 64% | 2002-01-01 | Lost |
| 1110 | 989 | 67% | 1999-06-09 | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Won |
| 1091 | 1091 | 50% | | Won |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1042.5 vs 1007.6 has a 55% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).