The St. Goar Assault
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 20 (5 on the archive and 15 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 7
Defender wins (German): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1013 | 986 | 54% | 2022-02-27 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2021-12-21 | | Won |
| 1036 | 1000 | 55% | 2005-06-25 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2002-07-30 | | Won |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2002-03-16 | | Lost |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1056.2 vs 997.2 has a 58.41% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).