The Guards Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 576 (19 on the archive and 557 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 283
Defender wins (German): 293
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 876 | 945 | 40% | 2020-11-08 | Won |
| 1031 | 1022 | 51% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 889 | 996 | 35% | 2018-03-19 | Lost |
| 1107 | 942 | 72% | 2014-03-05 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-07-25 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1035 | 51% | 2013-03-11 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1126 | 1139 | 48% | 2011-12-15 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2011-09-27 | Won |
| 1027 | 1029 | 50% | 2010-03-11 | Lost |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2009-08-12 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1126 | 38% | 2009-04-18 | Won |
| 1064 | 1006 | 58% | 2009-01-20 | Won |
| 1085 | 1117 | 45% | 2004-09-01 | Won |
| 986 | 1173 | 25% | 2003-05-20 | Lost |
| 1064 | 1215 | 30% | 1999-02-15 | Lost |
| 1093 | 985 | 65% | 1992-06-14 | Lost |
| 1024 | 941 | 62% | 1990-09-01 | Won |
| 1104 | 1027 | 61% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1029.5 vs 1033.5 has a 49.42% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).