The Guards Counterattack
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 574 (19 on the archive and 555 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 282
Defender wins (German): 292
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 877 | 1007 | 32% | 2020-11-08 | Won |
| 1098 | 1021 | 61% | 2019-04-08 | Lost |
| 886 | 893 | 49% | 2018-03-19 | Lost |
| 1108 | 942 | 72% | 2014-03-05 | Lost |
| 1002 | 1002 | 50% | 2013-07-25 | Lost |
| 1045 | 1035 | 51% | 2013-03-11 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-11-01 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1137 | 48% | 2011-12-15 | Won |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2011-09-27 | Won |
| 1028 | 1025 | 50% | 2010-03-11 | Lost |
| 976 | 919 | 58% | 2009-08-12 | Lost |
| 1044 | 1127 | 38% | 2009-04-18 | Won |
| 1063 | 1006 | 58% | 2009-01-20 | Won |
| 1085 | 1117 | 45% | 2004-09-01 | Won |
| 987 | 1127 | 31% | 2003-05-20 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1215 | 29% | 1999-02-15 | Lost |
| 1094 | 985 | 65% | 1992-06-14 | Lost |
| 1051 | 942 | 65% | 1990-09-01 | Won |
| 1117 | 1028 | 63% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1035.1 vs 1028.7 has a 50.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).