Monty's Mess
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 87 (19 on the archive and 68 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 44
Defender wins (British): 42
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1074 | 1129 | 42% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 1074 | 1173 | 36% | 2021-10-24 | Won |
| 1103 | 1069 | 55% | 2019-10-20 | Lost |
| 1116 | 1271 | 29% | 2019-08-16 | Won |
| 1310 | 917 | 91% | 2018-09-07 | Won |
| 1035 | 949 | 62% | 2018-09-05 | Lost |
| 931 | 1163 | 21% | 2017-05-10 | Won |
| 982 | 1031 | 43% | 2016-06-28 | Lost |
| 982 | 1025 | 44% | 2016-02-15 | Won |
| 1030 | 1100 | 40% | 2015-10-06 | Won |
| 1069 | 1020 | 57% | 2014-11-08 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2013-03-17 | Lost |
| 963 | 997 | 45% | 2011-08-17 | Tied |
| 1045 | 1060 | 48% | 2006-09-23 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2005-06-30 | Won |
| 1119 | 959 | 72% | 2003-07-29 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2003-06-16 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2003-06-16 | Won |
| 931 | 1163 | 21% | | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1060.1 vs 1074 has a 48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).