A Belated Christmas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 24 (6 on the archive and 18 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 11
Defender wins (American): 13
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 992 | 51% | 2025-04-13 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 972 | 63% | 2021-03-06 | | Won |
| 1000 | 981 | 53% | 2020-04-14 | | Won |
| 1227 | 1000 | 79% | 2018-01-07 | | Won |
| 921 | 1000 | 39% | 2017-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1108 | 1133 | 46% | 2013-03-07 | | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1053 vs 1013 has a 55.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).