A Belated Christmas
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 6
Attacker wins (German): 4
Defender wins (American): 2
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1014 | 997 | 52% | 2025-04-13 | Lost |
| 1125 | 876 | 81% | 2021-03-06 | Won |
| 893 | 906 | 48% | 2020-04-14 | Won |
| 1209 | 1139 | 60% | 2018-01-07 | Won |
| 998 | 899 | 64% | 2017-01-04 | Lost |
| 1094 | 1058 | 55% | 2013-03-07 | Won |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1055.5 vs 979.2 has a 60.81% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).