Han-Sur-Neid
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 18
Attacker wins (German): 12
Defender wins (American): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1158 | 1016 | 69% | 2024-12-13 | Won |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2023-11-19 | Won |
| 1118 | 1228 | 35% | 2021-12-30 | Lost |
| 1131 | 960 | 73% | 2020-03-28 | Won |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2013-08-09 | Won |
| 1135 | 965 | 73% | 2013-04-19 | Won |
| 1233 | 1106 | 68% | 2008-10-27 | Won |
| 1050 | 1062 | 48% | 2007-12-05 | Won |
| 1158 | 1062 | 63% | 2007-12-01 | Won |
| 1234 | 1056 | 74% | 2006-01-16 | Won |
| 949 | 959 | 49% | 2003-05-18 | Lost |
| 833 | 1152 | 14% | 2003-02-24 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1208 | 69% | 2002-04-28 | Lost |
| 1003 | 1013 | 49% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1167 | 1343 | 27% | 2001-07-28 | Lost |
| 967 | 1110 | 31% | 2001-06-05 | Lost |
| 985 | 1060 | 39% | 2001-03-31 | Won |
| 972 | 1141 | 27% | 2001-03-24 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1075.9 vs 1082.2 has a 49.1% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).