Point D'Appui
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 95 (24 on the archive and 71 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 54
Defender wins (American): 41
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1104 | 1100 | 51% | 2026-03-29 | | Won |
| 861 | 1000 | 31% | 2025-04-21 | | Lost |
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2024-09-29 | | Won |
| 1161 | 877 | 84% | 2021-04-30 | | Lost |
| 1095 | 1018 | 61% | 2021-04-24 | | Lost |
| 960 | 1004 | 44% | 2021-04-14 | | Lost |
| 945 | 949 | 49% | 2021-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1289 | 1121 | 72% | 2021-04-06 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-04-05 | | Lost |
| 981 | 980 | 50% | 2021-04-02 | | Won |
| 933 | 985 | 43% | 2021-04-02 | | Won |
| 1289 | 1138 | 70% | 2021-03-26 | | Won |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2018-06-16 | | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2016-11-29 | | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2016-11-29 | | Lost |
| 1004 | 1000 | 51% | 2015-07-27 | | Won |
| 989 | 1101 | 34% | 2014-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 983 | 66% | 2014-03-06 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2013-09-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 983 | 52% | 2013-08-17 | | Won |
| 1163 | 1015 | 70% | 2010-08-27 | | Won |
| 973 | 1149 | 27% | 2008-02-22 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 960 | 56% | 2006-10-29 | | Won |
| 832 | 1150 | 14% | 2003-03-17 | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1014.8 vs 1019 has a 49.4% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).