The Factory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (11 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1008 | 1061 | 42% | 2025-08-16 | Won |
| 912 | 1076 | 28% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1018 | 61% | 2025-02-19 | Won |
| 931 | 982 | 43% | 2021-06-14 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2020-06-14 | Lost |
| 982 | 1146 | 28% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 1132 | 1233 | 36% | 2007-06-04 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2002-09-05 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2002-09-03 | Won |
| 1141 | 1045 | 63% | 2000-10-14 | Lost |
| 968 | 1094 | 33% | 2000-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1041.5 vs 1085.4 has a 43.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).