The Factory
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 54 (11 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 28
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-08-16 | Won |
| 1000 | 1159 | 29% | 2025-06-21 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2025-02-19 | Won |
| 1000 | 943 | 58% | 2021-06-14 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2020-06-14 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2016-02-13 | Lost |
| 985 | 1110 | 33% | 2007-06-04 | Lost |
| 931 | 931 | 50% | 2002-09-05 | Won |
| 931 | 931 | 50% | 2002-09-03 | Won |
| 1148 | 1044 | 65% | 2000-10-14 | Lost |
| 929 | 1137 | 23% | 2000-10-01 | Won |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 993.1 vs 1023.2 has a 45.68% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).