The French Decide to Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35 (8 on the archive and 27 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 13
Defender wins (Vichy French): 22
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1182 | 1066 | 66% | 2021-08-21 | | Won |
| 1159 | 970 | 75% | 2020-11-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1082 | 38% | 2020-02-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2018-06-13 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1088 | 38% | 2017-10-15 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 1000 | 70% | 2014-02-11 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 940 | 79% | 2008-07-17 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2002-02-21 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1091.1 vs 1011.9 has a 61.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).