The Pouppeville Exit
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 126 (25 on the archive and 101 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 65
Defender wins (German): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1006 | 991 | 52% | 2025-09-29 | Won |
| 962 | 999 | 45% | 2025-03-07 | Won |
| 861 | 878 | 48% | 2022-11-13 | Won |
| 895 | 1052 | 29% | 2022-10-07 | Won |
| 1228 | 949 | 83% | 2022-07-17 | Lost |
| 880 | 945 | 41% | 2020-11-08 | Lost |
| 1131 | 1099 | 55% | 2020-05-20 | Won |
| 1263 | 1031 | 79% | 2018-02-23 | Won |
| 988 | 1018 | 46% | 2017-03-19 | Won |
| 1077 | 1080 | 50% | 2016-10-19 | Lost |
| 1063 | 998 | 59% | 2016-05-22 | Won |
| 1020 | 1173 | 29% | 2016-01-30 | Lost |
| 979 | 1065 | 38% | 2015-11-02 | Lost |
| 1009 | 1009 | 50% | 2012-04-01 | Lost |
| 942 | 920 | 53% | 2011-04-28 | Won |
| 1005 | 1008 | 50% | 2010-12-20 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1060 | 51% | 2010-08-13 | Lost |
| 1099 | 989 | 65% | 2009-01-21 | Won |
| 1085 | 893 | 75% | 2007-12-04 | Won |
| 827 | 920 | 37% | 2002-03-05 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1085 | 58% | 2001-10-07 | Lost |
| 1343 | 1021 | 86% | 2000-07-27 | Won |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 1998-01-06 | Won |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
| 1036 | 1018 | 53% | | Lost |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1045.3 vs 1012 has a 54.79% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).