Buchholz Station
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 129 (15 on the archive and 114 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 69
Defender wins (American): 60
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1055 | 1050 | 51% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2022-12-26 | Lost |
| 940 | 1053 | 34% | 2022-12-26 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1014 | 53% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 874 | 848 | 54% | 2017-12-13 | Won |
| 1056 | 997 | 58% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 851 | 986 | 31% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2015-06-01 | Lost |
| 1199 | 1056 | 69% | 2014-07-23 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-11-07 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2006-01-25 | Lost |
| 847 | 1218 | 11% | 2003-05-17 | Won |
| 1124 | 1218 | 37% | 2002-03-09 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1056 | 56% | 1998-07-01 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 997.8 vs 1049.7 has a 42.59% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).