Buchholz Station
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (16 on the archive and 115 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 70
Defender wins (American): 61
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1040 | 1040 | 50% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2022-12-26 | Lost |
| 971 | 1012 | 44% | 2022-12-26 | Lost |
| 953 | 986 | 45% | 2021-01-02 | Won |
| 875 | 846 | 54% | 2017-12-13 | Won |
| 1065 | 977 | 62% | 2016-12-10 | Won |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2015-12-06 | Lost |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2015-06-01 | Lost |
| 1083 | 1033 | 57% | 2014-07-23 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-11-07 | Won |
| 1121 | 1060 | 59% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2006-01-25 | Lost |
| 833 | 1113 | 17% | 2003-05-17 | Won |
| 1150 | 1113 | 55% | 2002-03-09 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1056 | 56% | 1998-07-01 | Won |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1001.6 vs 1022.3 has a 47.03% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).