Escape to Wiltz
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 29
Attacker wins (American): 11
Defender wins (German): 16
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 952 | 952 | 50% | 2025-12-26 | Won |
| 954 | 1097 | 31% | 2025-10-03 | Lost |
| 1134 | 1170 | 45% | 2025-09-06 | Lost |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2023-12-17 | Lost |
| 928 | 1151 | 22% | 2023-11-17 | Won |
| 1033 | 885 | 70% | 2023-01-18 | Lost |
| 998 | 780 | 78% | 2023-01-05 | Won |
| 1120 | 1077 | 56% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
| 1120 | 1077 | 56% | 2020-02-01 | Won |
| 1094 | 1217 | 33% | 2016-08-10 | Lost |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2015-11-08 | Lost |
| 1170 | 959 | 77% | 2012-05-28 | Won |
| 983 | 1026 | 44% | 2011-11-05 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1045 | 62% | 2010-12-21 | Lost |
| 974 | 974 | 50% | 2008-05-05 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1066 | 50% | 2008-01-01 | Lost |
| 983 | 1012 | 46% | 2006-01-14 | Lost |
| 907 | 1127 | 22% | 2005-09-17 | Lost |
| 968 | 1000 | 45% | 2005-02-04 | Won |
| 1342 | 1201 | 69% | 2005-02-04 | Won |
| 889 | 907 | 47% | 2004-09-18 | Lost |
| 1228 | 1263 | 45% | 2004-05-28 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1220 | 39% | 2004-05-16 | Won |
| 1099 | 1003 | 63% | 2004-05-07 | Lost |
| 1313 | 1127 | 74% | 2004-03-21 | Won |
| 1135 | 1233 | 36% | 2004-02-21 | Won |
| 1233 | 1135 | 64% | 2004-02-10 | Won |
| 1070 | 1223 | 29% | 2004-01-28 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1122 | 51% | 2004-01-17 | Lost |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1071.9 vs 1070.6 has a 50.19% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).