Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (12 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Romanian): 44
Defender wins (Russian): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
| 1038 | 958 | 61% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 981 | 972 | 51% | 2021-11-16 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1154 | 34% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
| 1088 | 1088 | 50% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 954 | 1100 | 30% | 2011-09-26 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1133 | 34% | 2011-06-25 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1213 | 34% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 982 | 1167 | 26% | 2011-06-05 | Lost |
| 1012 | 982 | 54% | 2009-07-26 | Won |
| 1046 | 1031 | 52% | 2005-03-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1018.2 vs 1062.1 has a 43.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).