Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 77 (17 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Romanian): 48
Defender wins (Russian): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 905 | 63% | 2023-12-02 | | Won |
| 974 | 1070 | 37% | 2022-11-28 | | Won |
| 1075 | 964 | 65% | 2022-10-16 | | Lost |
| 983 | 1000 | 48% | 2021-11-16 | | Lost |
| 1037 | 1000 | 55% | 2019-04-24 | | Won |
| 1088 | 1000 | 62% | 2018-04-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1120 | 33% | 2011-09-26 | | Lost |
| 1019 | 1134 | 34% | 2011-06-25 | | Lost |
| 1044 | 1198 | 29% | 2011-06-25 | | Won |
| 1147 | 1130 | 52% | 2011-06-05 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1141 | 31% | 2009-08-15 | | Won |
| 1013 | 1000 | 52% | 2009-07-26 | | Won |
| 1343 | 1010 | 87% | 2009-06-25 | | Won |
| 1046 | 1037 | 51% | 2005-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1031 | 46% | 2005-02-27 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1343 | 12% | 2004-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1115 | 54% | 2004-04-23 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1053.5 vs 1070.5 has a 47.56% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).