Bloody Nose
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 72 (12 on the archive and 60 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German / Romanian): 44
Defender wins (Russian): 28
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1033 | 1013 | 53% | 2023-12-02 | Won |
| 1019 | 982 | 55% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2022-10-16 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1000 | 52% | 2021-11-16 | Lost |
| 1000 | 760 | 80% | 2019-04-24 | Won |
| 1000 | 1000 | 50% | 2018-04-08 | Lost |
| 1145 | 1228 | 38% | 2011-09-26 | Lost |
| 1124 | 1117 | 51% | 2011-06-25 | Lost |
| 977 | 967 | 51% | 2011-06-25 | Won |
| 931 | 1155 | 22% | 2011-06-05 | Lost |
| 946 | 982 | 45% | 2009-07-26 | Won |
| 1022 | 1053 | 46% | 2005-03-13 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1017.6 vs 1021.4 has a 49.45% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).