Priests on the Line
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 131 (27 on the archive and 104 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 68
Defender wins (American): 63
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1065 | 1131 | 41% | 2026-10-23 | | Won |
| 1201 | 1020 | 74% | 2026-08-05 | | Lost |
| 1046 | 1000 | 57% | 2026-06-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2025-04-29 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2025-02-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2023-07-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1002 | 50% | 2023-03-17 | | Won |
| 989 | 1000 | 48% | 2023-03-17 | | Won |
| 992 | 1134 | 31% | 2022-08-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1108 | 35% | 2022-03-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1138 | 31% | 2021-06-19 | | Lost |
| 1315 | 990 | 87% | 2020-12-23 | | Won |
| 1226 | 949 | 83% | 2019-07-19 | | Won |
| 1019 | 904 | 66% | 2019-05-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2014-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1127 | 959 | 72% | 2012-10-26 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1096 | 45% | 2012-07-28 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2012-05-20 | | Won |
| 1153 | 1040 | 66% | 2011-03-26 | | Won |
| 1015 | 1000 | 52% | 2009-02-06 | | Won |
| 1185 | 1010 | 73% | 2007-05-24 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 907 | 63% | 2003-09-13 | | Won |
| 1074 | 970 | 65% | 2003-05-15 | | Won |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 2002-12-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1086 | 38% | | | Won |
| 1086 | 964 | 67% | | | Won |
| 1086 | 1018 | 60% | | | Won |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1061.9 vs 1023.5 has a 55.5% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).