Cahier Carriers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (17 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 31
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 950 | 950 | 50% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 962 | 975 | 48% | 2020-07-19 | Won |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 1143 | 1096 | 57% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 853 | 1158 | 15% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
| 918 | 897 | 53% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
| 1138 | 971 | 72% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 1006 | 851 | 71% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 974 | 986 | 48% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1067 | 1279 | 23% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 986 | 1113 | 32% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
| 1019 | 1147 | 32% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
| 1019 | 1244 | 21% | 2011-10-13 | Lost |
| 1053 | 1178 | 33% | 2011-09-26 | Won |
| 986 | 1095 | 35% | 2011-09-05 | Lost |
| 927 | 1009 | 38% | 2011-03-25 | Lost |
| 1174 | 1105 | 60% | 2002-11-23 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1009.5 vs 1068.6 has a 41.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).