Cahier Carriers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 61 (18 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 32
Defender wins (German): 29
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 966 | 55% | 2020-12-09 | | Lost |
| 905 | 1000 | 37% | 2020-07-19 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2019-08-24 | | Lost |
| 1252 | 1000 | 81% | 2018-03-17 | | Won |
| 850 | 1133 | 16% | 2017-09-16 | | Lost |
| 919 | 898 | 53% | 2017-04-03 | | Lost |
| 1085 | 971 | 66% | 2017-02-13 | | Won |
| 1004 | 846 | 71% | 2016-11-05 | | Won |
| 972 | 981 | 49% | 2016-11-05 | | Won |
| 1045 | 1258 | 23% | 2016-03-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1098 | 36% | 2011-11-06 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2011-10-29 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1253 | 21% | 2011-10-13 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1214 | 26% | 2011-09-26 | | Won |
| 940 | 1167 | 21% | 2011-09-05 | | Lost |
| 907 | 1000 | 37% | 2011-03-25 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2004-12-12 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1056 | 64% | 2002-11-23 | | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1019.2 vs 1052.2 has a 45.27% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).