Cahier Carriers
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 60 (17 on the archive and 43 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 32
Defender wins (German): 28
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 954 | 931 | 53% | 2020-12-09 | Lost |
| 939 | 939 | 50% | 2020-07-19 | Won |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2019-08-24 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1095 | 57% | 2018-03-17 | Won |
| 857 | 1140 | 16% | 2017-09-16 | Lost |
| 917 | 897 | 53% | 2017-04-03 | Lost |
| 1116 | 993 | 67% | 2017-02-13 | Won |
| 1092 | 851 | 80% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 974 | 986 | 48% | 2016-11-05 | Won |
| 1211 | 1255 | 44% | 2016-03-18 | Won |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2011-11-06 | Won |
| 1018 | 1146 | 32% | 2011-10-29 | Won |
| 1018 | 1227 | 23% | 2011-10-13 | Lost |
| 978 | 1141 | 28% | 2011-09-26 | Won |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2011-09-05 | Lost |
| 931 | 1010 | 39% | 2011-03-25 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1038 | 61% | 2002-11-23 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1021.6 vs 1063.9 has a 43.93% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).