The Lawless Roads
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 123 (26 on the archive and 97 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (British): 64
Defender wins (German): 59
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1039 | 1039 | 50% | 2026-03-12 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1085 | 50% | 2026-02-23 | Won |
| 1224 | 1044 | 74% | 2025-04-06 | Won |
| 1032 | 1018 | 52% | 2025-02-21 | Lost |
| 1043 | 970 | 60% | 2023-06-27 | Lost |
| 950 | 1160 | 23% | 2023-06-26 | Won |
| 1014 | 1105 | 37% | 2023-06-11 | Won |
| 999 | 1020 | 47% | 2023-06-07 | Lost |
| 962 | 962 | 50% | 2023-05-28 | Won |
| 862 | 859 | 50% | 2023-05-25 | Won |
| 1013 | 1026 | 48% | 2022-12-20 | Won |
| 1256 | 933 | 87% | 2020-06-09 | Won |
| 948 | 980 | 45% | 2020-02-08 | Won |
| 996 | 989 | 51% | 2019-07-01 | Won |
| 1217 | 981 | 80% | 2017-11-01 | Won |
| 1024 | 870 | 71% | 2014-06-01 | Won |
| 958 | 1024 | 41% | 2014-05-29 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1028 | 71% | 2013-12-20 | Won |
| 1052 | 1253 | 24% | 2011-06-04 | Lost |
| 976 | 976 | 50% | 2010-01-13 | Won |
| 1105 | 992 | 66% | 2010-01-12 | Lost |
| 1034 | 901 | 68% | 2006-07-29 | Lost |
| 1180 | 1204 | 47% | 2006-03-11 | Lost |
| 1259 | 1036 | 78% | 2006-01-01 | Won |
| 976 | 950 | 54% | 2005-10-30 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1092 | 43% | 2003-01-26 | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1054.8 vs 1019.1 has a 55.12% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).