In the Bag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (14 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2024-01-01 | | Won |
| 992 | 1134 | 31% | 2022-12-23 | | Lost |
| 992 | 1134 | 31% | 2022-12-23 | | Lost |
| 1091 | 1029 | 59% | 2020-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1029 | 67% | 2020-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 941 | 58% | 2017-12-09 | | Won |
| 1011 | 1000 | 52% | 2013-07-12 | | Won |
| 1153 | 1022 | 68% | 2011-10-23 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2011-05-20 | | Won |
| 1048 | 1343 | 15% | 2002-10-12 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2002-03-03 | | Lost |
| 968 | 1059 | 37% | 2001-10-05 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2001-08-15 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 2001-06-18 | | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1064.8 vs 1049.4 has a 52.22% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).