In the Bag
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (14 on the archive and 61 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 32
Defender wins (German): 43
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1145 | 1161 | 48% | 2024-01-01 | Won |
| 1005 | 1083 | 39% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1083 | 39% | 2022-12-23 | Lost |
| 1172 | 984 | 75% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 1113 | 984 | 68% | 2020-10-18 | Lost |
| 909 | 909 | 50% | 2017-12-09 | Won |
| 968 | 1000 | 45% | 2013-07-12 | Won |
| 1215 | 1070 | 70% | 2011-10-23 | Won |
| 1129 | 1025 | 65% | 2011-05-20 | Won |
| 1031 | 1342 | 14% | 2002-10-12 | Lost |
| 1056 | 1044 | 52% | 2002-03-03 | Lost |
| 968 | 1051 | 38% | 2001-10-05 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-08-15 | Lost |
| 1026 | 1041 | 48% | 2001-06-18 | Lost |
Attacking (5 wins) average ELOs: 1060.2 vs 1062.3 has a 49.7% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).