Bad Luck
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 34
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (American): 18
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1107 | 1053 | 58% | 2023-02-27 | Lost |
| 931 | 954 | 47% | 2022-11-28 | Won |
| 1244 | 1298 | 42% | 2021-07-25 | Lost |
| 718 | 1031 | 14% | 2020-10-28 | Lost |
| 1223 | 1074 | 70% | 2020-09-08 | Won |
| 1116 | 955 | 72% | 2020-08-28 | Won |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2019-05-08 | Lost |
| 999 | 1011 | 48% | 2018-03-03 | Won |
| 1133 | 1098 | 55% | 2018-03-03 | Won |
| 971 | 1242 | 17% | 2018-02-11 | Lost |
| 971 | 1242 | 17% | 2018-02-11 | Lost |
| 1209 | 1197 | 52% | 2014-01-18 | Won |
| 1125 | 1093 | 55% | 2012-02-25 | Won |
| 1120 | 1109 | 52% | 2011-11-11 | Lost |
| 1115 | 1167 | 43% | 2011-09-15 | Won |
| 1033 | 1120 | 38% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 1008 | 983 | 54% | 2010-03-13 | Won |
| 1102 | 1015 | 62% | 2009-08-23 | Won |
| 1074 | 1134 | 41% | 2009-04-14 | Lost |
| 1119 | 1148 | 46% | 2008-01-27 | Lost |
| 1014 | 1030 | 48% | 2008-01-27 | Won |
| 1114 | 1310 | 24% | 2007-09-07 | Lost |
| 1117 | 1400 | 16% | 2007-08-07 | Lost |
| 1015 | 994 | 53% | 2006-10-14 | Lost |
| 1097 | 1141 | 44% | 2006-06-23 | Lost |
| 986 | 1141 | 29% | 2005-10-23 | Won |
| 844 | 1129 | 16% | 2003-03-07 | Won |
| 1069 | 1020 | 57% | 2002-01-01 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1099 | 40% | 2001-12-08 | Won |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2001-08-08 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2001-08-07 | Lost |
| 1163 | 1006 | 71% | | Won |
| 1163 | 1163 | 50% | | Lost |
| 1163 | 996 | 72% | | Won |
Attacking (16 wins) average ELOs: 1067.7 vs 1109.7 has a 43.99% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).