A Burnt Out Case
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 65 (9 on the archive and 56 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 39
Defender wins (German): 26
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 1097 | 44% | 2019-04-05 | Won |
| 975 | 1037 | 41% | 2018-07-04 | Won |
| 930 | 977 | 43% | 2013-09-01 | Won |
| 955 | 1157 | 24% | 2011-08-01 | Lost |
| 1170 | 1023 | 70% | 2007-05-22 | Won |
| 1135 | 1228 | 37% | 2006-05-03 | Lost |
| 954 | 1131 | 27% | 2002-10-18 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1098 | 46% | 2001-11-07 | Lost |
| 954 | 1131 | 27% | | Lost |
Attacking (4 wins) average ELOs: 1021.8 vs 1097.7 has a 39.25% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).