A Burnt Out Case
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 10
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2025-11-19 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1082 | 40% | 2025-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1008 | 1082 | 40% | 2025-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1005 | 1153 | 30% | 2025-08-11 | | Won |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 2019-04-05 | | Won |
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2018-07-04 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2017-07-04 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2017-05-29 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2013-09-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1136 | 31% | 2011-08-01 | | Lost |
| 1031 | 1074 | 44% | 2011-05-07 | | Won |
| 1153 | 1000 | 71% | 2007-05-22 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1233 | 21% | 2006-05-03 | | Lost |
| 956 | 1086 | 32% | 2002-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2002-02-26 | | Won |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2001-11-07 | | Lost |
| 956 | 1086 | 32% | | | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1024.8 vs 1042.4 has a 47.47% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).