Setting the Stage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 43
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 24
Defender wins (Russian): 18
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 1
Defender wins (Russian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1149 | 1031 | 66% | 2026-03-11 | Won |
| 1065 | 979 | 62% | 2025-09-16 | Won |
| 1043 | 1046 | 50% | 2025-04-11 | Won |
| 1031 | 1022 | 51% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1031 | 993 | 55% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 994 | 974 | 53% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 989 | 1009 | 47% | 2023-11-02 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1149 | 34% | 2023-09-27 | Lost |
| 947 | 947 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1189 | 1167 | 53% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
| 1220 | 1178 | 56% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 1030 | 999 | 54% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 999 | 1220 | 22% | 2022-12-16 | Lost |
| 1063 | 998 | 59% | 2022-09-22 | Won |
| 967 | 985 | 47% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
| 1063 | 998 | 59% | 2022-09-02 | Won |
| 993 | 1010 | 48% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 999 | 780 | 78% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1085 | 1220 | 31% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1263 | 1186 | 61% | 2021-09-27 | Won |
| 1226 | 999 | 79% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
| 1123 | 970 | 71% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 884 | 853 | 54% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 988 | 941 | 57% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 928 | 1060 | 32% | 2016-09-16 | Won |
| 1003 | 1131 | 32% | 2015-05-02 | Won |
| 1099 | 1131 | 45% | 2015-03-10 | Lost |
| 1135 | 998 | 69% | 2015-01-09 | Won |
| 1174 | 1226 | 43% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 985 | 57% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 1019 | 1045 | 46% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1125 | 48% | 2012-03-01 | Lost |
| 968 | 1085 | 34% | 2012-02-20 | Lost |
| 1208 | 1083 | 67% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1234 | 970 | 82% | 2008-01-12 | Won |
| 1150 | 1189 | 44% | 2007-01-06 | Won |
| 1141 | 1127 | 52% | 2006-09-24 | Lost |
| 907 | 1172 | 18% | 2006-09-22 | Won |
| 1160 | 919 | 80% | 2004-03-08 | Lost |
| 1087 | 1060 | 54% | 2004-01-16 | Won |
| 1189 | 1015 | 73% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 961 | 1096 | 31% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
| 1263 | 1287 | 47% | 2003-02-09 | Won |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1073 vs 1054.8 has a 52.61% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).