Setting the Stage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 35
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 19
Defender wins (Russian): 16
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2025-04-11 | Won |
| 1085 | 1029 | 58% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 1085 | 991 | 63% | 2024-12-22 | Won |
| 994 | 1080 | 38% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
| 991 | 1008 | 48% | 2023-11-02 | Lost |
| 929 | 929 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
| 1241 | 1145 | 63% | 2023-04-23 | Lost |
| 1264 | 1165 | 64% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
| 789 | 1016 | 21% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
| 1016 | 1266 | 19% | 2022-12-16 | Lost |
| 1199 | 869 | 87% | 2022-09-22 | Won |
| 1128 | 983 | 70% | 2022-09-11 | Won |
| 1199 | 869 | 87% | 2022-09-02 | Won |
| 991 | 1008 | 48% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
| 970 | 768 | 76% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1266 | 25% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
| 1223 | 970 | 81% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
| 1157 | 967 | 75% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
| 993 | 852 | 69% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
| 906 | 876 | 54% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
| 1041 | 1120 | 39% | 2015-05-02 | Won |
| 748 | 1132 | 10% | 2015-03-10 | Lost |
| 1135 | 1019 | 66% | 2015-01-09 | Won |
| 1171 | 1223 | 43% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
| 1034 | 987 | 57% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
| 1018 | 1044 | 46% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
| 1108 | 1125 | 48% | 2012-03-01 | Lost |
| 1076 | 1073 | 50% | 2012-02-20 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1081 | 59% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
| 1310 | 968 | 88% | 2008-01-12 | Won |
| 1124 | 1241 | 34% | 2007-01-06 | Won |
| 915 | 1189 | 17% | 2006-09-22 | Won |
| 950 | 1084 | 32% | 2004-03-08 | Lost |
| 1241 | 1273 | 45% | 2003-06-21 | Won |
| 981 | 1097 | 34% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1064.9 vs 1050.3 has a 52.11% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).