Setting the Stage
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (Russian): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
---|
998 | 1138 | 31% | 2023-11-14 | Lost |
992 | 1008 | 48% | 2023-11-02 | Lost |
977 | 977 | 50% | 2023-07-09 | Won |
1288 | 1162 | 67% | 2023-04-22 | Lost |
1030 | 955 | 61% | 2023-04-21 | Lost |
955 | 1267 | 14% | 2022-12-16 | Lost |
1112 | 877 | 79% | 2022-09-22 | Won |
1112 | 877 | 79% | 2022-09-02 | Won |
994 | 1011 | 48% | 2022-08-14 | Lost |
1169 | 784 | 90% | 2022-08-12 | Lost |
1046 | 1267 | 22% | 2022-07-29 | Won |
1225 | 1169 | 58% | 2020-10-16 | Won |
1151 | 985 | 72% | 2020-05-19 | Lost |
926 | 856 | 60% | 2020-05-05 | Won |
983 | 959 | 53% | 2018-07-20 | Lost |
1088 | 1121 | 45% | 2015-05-02 | Won |
1045 | 1188 | 31% | 2015-03-10 | Lost |
1135 | 999 | 69% | 2015-01-09 | Won |
1171 | 1225 | 42% | 2013-06-20 | Won |
1035 | 987 | 57% | 2013-04-27 | Lost |
1019 | 1044 | 46% | 2012-03-09 | Lost |
1108 | 1125 | 48% | 2012-03-01 | Lost |
1058 | 1046 | 52% | 2012-02-20 | Lost |
1122 | 1080 | 56% | 2009-09-19 | Won |
1307 | 977 | 87% | 2008-01-12 | Won |
911 | 1092 | 26% | 2006-09-22 | Won |
1038 | 934 | 65% | 2004-03-08 | Lost |
980 | 1096 | 34% | 2003-03-01 | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1070.5 vs 1043.1 has a 53.94% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).