Tretten in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (British): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 998 | 961 | 55% | 2026-01-03 | Won |
| 1109 | 1000 | 65% | 2025-03-24 | Won |
| 1075 | 1016 | 58% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1125 | 915 | 77% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
| 1138 | 1138 | 50% | 2023-05-20 | Won |
| 1427 | 1425 | 50% | 2022-11-25 | Won |
| 993 | 993 | 50% | 2022-04-11 | Lost |
| 998 | 998 | 50% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
| 846 | 1023 | 27% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1014 | 1051 | 45% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 975 | 956 | 53% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
| 1230 | 1343 | 34% | 2019-07-05 | Lost |
| 997 | 1037 | 44% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 967 | 890 | 61% | 2013-08-21 | Won |
| 1050 | 951 | 64% | 2013-02-25 | Lost |
| 1115 | 943 | 73% | 2012-11-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 983 | 60% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 1084 | 891 | 75% | 2008-09-09 | Won |
| 1112 | 984 | 68% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 1067 | 934 | 68% | 2004-02-07 | Won |
| 1101 | 1167 | 41% | 2002-10-10 | Won |
| 1100 | 927 | 73% | 2002-04-13 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2002-03-19 | Won |
| 1281 | 1159 | 67% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 1032 | 1103 | 40% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 992 | 1079 | 38% | 2002-01-11 | Lost |
| 1167 | 726 | 93% | 2001-12-13 | Won |
| 982 | 1034 | 43% | 2001-10-16 | Won |
| 1072 | 1075 | 50% | 2001-07-08 | Won |
| 1159 | 1138 | 53% | 2001-07-05 | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1079.1 vs 1029.6 has a 57.08% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).