Tretten in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (German): 21
Defender wins (British): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1081 | 1081 | 50% | 2026-01-03 | Won |
| 1039 | 1092 | 42% | 2025-03-24 | Won |
| 1079 | 1070 | 51% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 967 | 1077 | 35% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
| 967 | 967 | 50% | 2023-05-20 | Won |
| 1431 | 1425 | 51% | 2022-11-25 | Won |
| 988 | 988 | 50% | 2022-04-11 | Lost |
| 1066 | 1066 | 50% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
| 890 | 904 | 48% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1014 | 999 | 52% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 948 | 1022 | 40% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
| 1220 | 1220 | 50% | 2019-07-05 | Lost |
| 947 | 1037 | 37% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 1135 | 890 | 80% | 2013-08-21 | Won |
| 1040 | 951 | 63% | 2013-02-25 | Lost |
| 1108 | 942 | 72% | 2012-11-11 | Won |
| 1056 | 983 | 60% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 1085 | 893 | 75% | 2008-09-09 | Won |
| 1003 | 968 | 55% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 1100 | 949 | 70% | 2004-02-07 | Won |
| 1125 | 1141 | 48% | 2002-10-10 | Won |
| 1101 | 927 | 73% | 2002-04-13 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2002-03-19 | Won |
| 1269 | 1159 | 65% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 1060 | 1103 | 44% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 993 | 1003 | 49% | 2002-01-11 | Lost |
| 1141 | 753 | 90% | 2001-12-13 | Won |
| 982 | 1035 | 42% | 2001-10-16 | Won |
| 1170 | 1088 | 62% | 2001-07-08 | Won |
| 1159 | 1169 | 49% | 2001-07-05 | Lost |
Attacking (22 wins) average ELOs: 1076 vs 1031.6 has a 56.35% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).