Tretten in Flames
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 26
Attacker wins (German): 16
Defender wins (British): 9
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (British): 0
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1094 | 959 | 69% | 2024-02-01 | Lost |
| 1008 | 1025 | 48% | 2023-08-05 | Won |
| 1031 | 1046 | 48% | 2023-05-20 | Won |
| 1431 | 1425 | 51% | 2022-11-25 | Won |
| 954 | 931 | 53% | 2022-04-11 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1012 | 50% | 2021-11-09 | Won |
| 882 | 970 | 38% | 2020-12-10 | Won |
| 1009 | 1074 | 41% | 2020-05-18 | Won |
| 956 | 1014 | 42% | 2019-08-17 | Won |
| 1255 | 1276 | 47% | 2019-07-05 | Lost |
| 939 | 1037 | 36% | 2019-04-20 | Won |
| 982 | 889 | 63% | 2013-08-21 | Won |
| 1070 | 951 | 66% | 2013-02-25 | Lost |
| 1094 | 943 | 70% | 2012-11-11 | Won |
| 1091 | 983 | 65% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 1056 | 983 | 60% | 2011-08-27 | Lost |
| 1074 | 901 | 73% | 2008-09-09 | Won |
| 1069 | 984 | 62% | 2004-10-01 | Won |
| 1070 | 931 | 69% | 2004-02-07 | Won |
| 1098 | 927 | 73% | 2002-04-13 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2002-03-19 | Won |
| 1284 | 1119 | 72% | 2002-01-26 | Won |
| 992 | 1069 | 39% | 2002-01-11 | Lost |
| 959 | 1030 | 40% | 2001-10-16 | Won |
| 1129 | 1081 | 57% | 2001-07-08 | Won |
| 1119 | 1074 | 56% | 2001-07-05 | Lost |
Attacking (17 wins) average ELOs: 1067.5 vs 1028.1 has a 55.65% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).