The Bridge of Verdalsöra
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (German): 18
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 12
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (Norwegian / British): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1015 | 1015 | 50% | 2025-12-30 | Won |
| 1037 | 1055 | 47% | 2025-03-15 | Won |
| 1041 | 1096 | 42% | 2024-05-04 | Won |
| 973 | 1040 | 40% | 2024-02-19 | Won |
| 951 | 1002 | 43% | 2023-06-14 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1010 | 75% | 2023-05-13 | Lost |
| 1012 | 1031 | 47% | 2023-03-25 | Won |
| 1008 | 977 | 54% | 2022-04-24 | Won |
| 950 | 950 | 50% | 2022-03-14 | Lost |
| 1030 | 950 | 61% | 2022-01-15 | Won |
| 903 | 878 | 54% | 2021-12-09 | Won |
| 993 | 976 | 52% | 2021-08-20 | Won |
| 942 | 1063 | 33% | 2021-03-14 | Lost |
| 1032 | 1127 | 37% | 2021-03-13 | Lost |
| 1203 | 1017 | 74% | 2021-03-13 | Won |
| 1138 | 1117 | 53% | 2021-03-10 | Lost |
| 890 | 904 | 48% | 2020-11-25 | Lost |
| 948 | 985 | 45% | 2019-08-11 | Won |
| 962 | 1143 | 26% | 2017-04-08 | Won |
| 907 | 1016 | 35% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1216 | 982 | 79% | 2012-09-17 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1072 | 55% | 2010-11-13 | Won |
| 1022 | 939 | 62% | 2010-05-02 | Lost |
| 1067 | 1068 | 50% | 2008-04-25 | Won |
| 1094 | 1053 | 56% | 2006-03-17 | Won |
| 1037 | 1031 | 51% | 2005-03-01 | Won |
| 1066 | 982 | 62% | 2004-05-29 | Lost |
| 1037 | 1213 | 27% | 2002-01-01 | Won |
| 1095 | 1100 | 49% | 2001-11-07 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-10-30 | Lost |
| 1138 | 994 | 70% | 2001-10-19 | Won |
Attacking (19 wins) average ELOs: 1036 vs 1028.4 has a 51.09% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).