The Capture of Balta
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 15
Attacker wins (Russian): 9
Defender wins (German / Romanian): 4
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 1
Defender wins (German / Romanian): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1005 | 1022 | 48% | 2024-02-12 | Won |
| 1002 | 1041 | 44% | 2023-06-18 | Won |
| 1144 | 959 | 74% | 2016-08-07 | Lost |
| 999 | 1226 | 21% | 2016-06-25 | Won |
| 1005 | 946 | 58% | 2015-06-08 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1006 | 58% | 2009-03-15 | Won |
| 1005 | 960 | 56% | 2008-07-24 | Won |
| 1228 | 1133 | 63% | 2007-07-14 | Won |
| 1113 | 1099 | 52% | 2006-10-22 | Won |
| 1091 | 1041 | 57% | 2005-04-23 | Tied |
| 969 | 1050 | 39% | 2002-07-25 | Lost |
| 969 | 1050 | 39% | 2002-06-16 | Won |
| 1200 | 1034 | 72% | 2001-02-23 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 2001-01-06 | Lost |
| 1101 | 1036 | 59% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1066.2 vs 1032.9 has a 54.78% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).