Kampfgruppe at Karachev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31
Attacker wins (Russian): 15
Defender wins (German): 15
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2024-05-30 | Won |
| 1115 | 1074 | 56% | 2023-04-09 | Won |
| 1255 | 908 | 88% | 2022-12-28 | Won |
| 1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
| 944 | 1015 | 40% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
| 1036 | 1165 | 32% | 2020-09-21 | Won |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1046 | 50% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 976 | 1116 | 31% | 2019-01-03 | Lost |
| 917 | 919 | 50% | 2018-08-20 | Won |
| 1101 | 1108 | 49% | 2018-08-02 | Tied |
| 994 | 941 | 58% | 2016-11-25 | Lost |
| 1038 | 980 | 58% | 2015-09-27 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2015-09-11 | Lost |
| 1142 | 939 | 76% | 2015-08-06 | Won |
| 1084 | 1065 | 53% | 2014-12-06 | Won |
| 1055 | 1068 | 48% | 2012-03-30 | Won |
| 982 | 977 | 51% | 2012-03-17 | Won |
| 987 | 976 | 52% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 940 | 1084 | 30% | 2010-01-17 | Won |
| 1099 | 1035 | 59% | 2008-02-03 | Won |
| 1001 | 1141 | 31% | 2006-06-22 | Lost |
| 1129 | 884 | 80% | 2003-06-20 | Won |
| 1030 | 1093 | 41% | 2003-01-27 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2000-12-06 | Lost |
| 1096 | 1098 | 50% | 2000-11-23 | Lost |
| 1125 | 1098 | 54% | 2000-10-29 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 2000-10-22 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1039 | 54% | 2000-10-01 | Won |
| 1091 | 1119 | 46% | 2000-03-04 | Lost |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1059.5 vs 1033.6 has a 53.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).