Kampfgruppe at Karachev
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 36
Attacker wins (Russian): 18
Defender wins (German): 17
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 1033 | 49% | 2026-01-21 | Won |
| 1253 | 1157 | 63% | 2024-05-30 | Won |
| 1123 | 982 | 69% | 2023-04-09 | Won |
| 1256 | 1266 | 49% | 2022-12-28 | Won |
| 1052 | 991 | 59% | 2022-08-21 | Won |
| 1078 | 945 | 68% | 2021-02-27 | Lost |
| 1047 | 1173 | 33% | 2020-09-21 | Won |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1020 | 50% | 2020-07-09 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1037 | 52% | 2019-01-27 | Lost |
| 975 | 1058 | 38% | 2019-01-03 | Lost |
| 917 | 941 | 47% | 2018-08-20 | Won |
| 1101 | 1142 | 44% | 2018-08-02 | Tied |
| 1065 | 939 | 67% | 2016-11-25 | Lost |
| 1038 | 980 | 58% | 2015-09-27 | Lost |
| 1020 | 1038 | 47% | 2015-09-11 | Lost |
| 1143 | 962 | 74% | 2015-08-06 | Won |
| 1024 | 1066 | 44% | 2014-12-06 | Won |
| 974 | 1093 | 34% | 2012-03-30 | Won |
| 1117 | 977 | 69% | 2012-03-17 | Won |
| 986 | 959 | 54% | 2012-01-21 | Lost |
| 940 | 1024 | 38% | 2010-01-17 | Won |
| 1117 | 1034 | 62% | 2008-02-03 | Won |
| 1008 | 1236 | 21% | 2006-06-22 | Lost |
| 1114 | 1140 | 46% | 2005-04-09 | Lost |
| 925 | 1068 | 31% | 2004-09-10 | Lost |
| 1204 | 1119 | 62% | 2003-06-20 | Won |
| 1036 | 1103 | 40% | 2003-01-27 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1140 | 36% | 2001-10-02 | Won |
| 1283 | 976 | 85% | 2001-05-26 | Won |
| 1101 | 1095 | 51% | 2000-12-06 | Lost |
| 1095 | 1101 | 49% | 2000-11-23 | Lost |
| 1182 | 1101 | 61% | 2000-10-29 | Won |
| 1101 | 992 | 65% | 2000-10-22 | Lost |
| 1027 | 1042 | 48% | 2000-10-01 | Won |
| 1096 | 1173 | 39% | 2000-03-04 | Lost |
Attacking (18 wins) average ELOs: 1070.8 vs 1059 has a 51.71% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).