Oh Joy!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 97 (23 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 45
Defender wins (German): 52
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2025-03-18 | | Won |
| 1000 | 940 | 59% | 2022-11-15 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 949 | 57% | 2022-10-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2020-06-14 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2020-06-14 | | Lost |
| 957 | 1084 | 32% | 2020-06-01 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2019-02-22 | | Won |
| 1120 | 1019 | 64% | 2019-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1120 | 1056 | 59% | 2019-02-18 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1173 | 27% | 2017-08-08 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1218 | 22% | 2017-07-17 | | Lost |
| 1062 | 695 | 89% | 2013-07-13 | | Won |
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2012-11-03 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1064 | 41% | 2011-05-29 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1101 | 21% | 2011-01-13 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1040 | 65% | 2010-01-22 | | Won |
| 1145 | 1011 | 68% | 2008-09-20 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 2005-02-12 | | Won |
| 1007 | 1000 | 51% | 2001-08-25 | | Won |
| 1074 | 1000 | 60% | 2001-04-23 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2000-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 780 | 89% | 2000-04-04 | | Won |
| 1076 | 1000 | 61% | 1988-01-01 | | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1054.1 vs 1009.2 has a 56.43% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).