Oh Joy!
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Russian): 7
Defender wins (German): 10
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 955 | 919 | 55% | 2022-11-15 | Lost |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2022-10-17 | Won |
| 1008 | 1025 | 48% | 2020-06-01 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2019-02-22 | Won |
| 1100 | 1045 | 58% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1100 | 1016 | 62% | 2019-02-18 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1113 | 50% | 2017-08-08 | Lost |
| 939 | 1214 | 17% | 2017-07-17 | Lost |
| 1008 | 697 | 86% | 2013-07-13 | Won |
| 939 | 1037 | 36% | 2012-11-03 | Won |
| 1014 | 1182 | 28% | 2011-05-29 | Lost |
| 870 | 1098 | 21% | 2011-01-13 | Won |
| 1141 | 978 | 72% | 2010-01-22 | Won |
| 1105 | 1084 | 53% | 2008-09-20 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1032 | 50% | 2001-08-25 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 2000-10-07 | Lost |
| 1069 | 1119 | 43% | 1988-01-01 | Lost |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1033.2 vs 1035.1 has a 49.72% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).