Merzenhausen Zoo
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 185 (29 on the archive and 156 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American / British): 81
Defender wins (German): 103
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1125 | 1098 | 54% | 2024-03-24 | Lost |
| 718 | 1074 | 11% | 2022-12-19 | Lost |
| 936 | 1066 | 32% | 2022-11-21 | Lost |
| 1025 | 1008 | 52% | 2022-10-10 | Lost |
| 1310 | 1082 | 79% | 2022-08-31 | Won |
| 1111 | 1116 | 49% | 2022-06-27 | Lost |
| 1086 | 1112 | 46% | 2021-02-28 | Lost |
| 1049 | 1052 | 50% | 2020-10-30 | Lost |
| 977 | 994 | 48% | 2019-08-24 | Won |
| 1119 | 1242 | 33% | 2018-02-18 | Lost |
| 1242 | 971 | 83% | 2018-01-01 | Tied |
| 1140 | 967 | 73% | 2016-08-24 | Won |
| 982 | 977 | 51% | 2015-03-15 | Won |
| 951 | 889 | 59% | 2014-01-01 | Lost |
| 1098 | 1032 | 59% | 2013-01-10 | Lost |
| 1094 | 939 | 71% | 2012-11-30 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1115 | 36% | 2011-07-17 | Lost |
| 1141 | 1090 | 57% | 2011-04-29 | Won |
| 969 | 969 | 50% | 2010-11-01 | Won |
| 1141 | 978 | 72% | 2009-12-22 | Lost |
| 1074 | 1074 | 50% | 2009-05-23 | Lost |
| 1400 | 1285 | 66% | 2007-03-01 | Won |
| 1129 | 844 | 84% | 2003-03-27 | Won |
| 1098 | 1096 | 50% | 2003-02-25 | Lost |
| 1129 | 1019 | 65% | 2000-12-10 | Lost |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 2000-09-24 | Won |
| 1098 | 890 | 77% | 2000-07-11 | Won |
| 1031 | 1075 | 44% | 2000-06-11 | Won |
| 994 | 790 | 76% | 2000-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (11 wins) average ELOs: 1071.4 vs 1032.5 has a 55.58% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).