Turning Off the Spigot
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 7
Attacker wins (American): 2
Defender wins (Japanese): 4
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (Japanese): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 928 | 1084 | 29% | 2024-08-01 | Lost |
| 914 | 1094 | 26% | 2023-09-02 | Lost |
| 928 | 939 | 48% | 2021-05-25 | Won |
| 1186 | 1263 | 39% | 2020-04-18 | Lost |
| 698 | 989 | 16% | 2018-02-25 | Lost |
| 1010 | 1120 | 35% | 2000-12-30 | Lost |
| 1141 | 777 | 89% | 2000-07-17 | Won |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 972.1 vs 1038 has a 40.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).