Jungle Fighters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 173 (34 on the archive and 139 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 78
Defender wins (British / Australian): 94
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 952 | 55% | 2026-01-14 | Won |
| 1194 | 1024 | 73% | 2023-10-07 | Lost |
| 878 | 1018 | 31% | 2023-08-14 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2022-08-15 | Won |
| 948 | 986 | 45% | 2021-09-26 | Lost |
| 904 | 890 | 52% | 2021-05-06 | Lost |
| 1156 | 1274 | 34% | 2019-12-17 | Lost |
| 911 | 1037 | 33% | 2018-11-12 | Won |
| 1037 | 1032 | 51% | 2018-10-03 | Lost |
| 1158 | 853 | 85% | 2018-07-01 | Won |
| 1060 | 1037 | 53% | 2017-11-03 | Lost |
| 1173 | 1174 | 50% | 2017-03-26 | Lost |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2016-03-13 | Lost |
| 1091 | 1037 | 58% | 2014-11-09 | Won |
| 969 | 1072 | 36% | 2014-06-21 | Lost |
| 966 | 1072 | 35% | 2014-04-12 | Lost |
| 977 | 1038 | 41% | 2014-03-13 | Won |
| 1072 | 1018 | 58% | 2011-07-16 | Won |
| 1099 | 1162 | 41% | 2011-04-16 | Lost |
| 870 | 1026 | 29% | 2011-03-06 | Lost |
| 1274 | 932 | 88% | 2007-09-07 | Lost |
| 1239 | 1274 | 45% | 2007-08-27 | Tied |
| 1203 | 1067 | 69% | 2007-02-20 | Lost |
| 983 | 1041 | 42% | 2005-09-24 | Lost |
| 1054 | 1222 | 28% | 2005-01-16 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1085 | 54% | 2004-10-16 | Lost |
| 865 | 927 | 41% | 2004-05-24 | Won |
| 1100 | 1095 | 51% | 2001-04-04 | Lost |
| 1034 | 986 | 57% | 2001-01-01 | Lost |
| 962 | 988 | 46% | 2000-06-03 | Lost |
| 731 | 1138 | 9% | 1999-09-21 | Won |
| 1194 | 1194 | 50% | 1999-07-31 | Won |
| 1034 | 1174 | 31% | 1999-01-25 | Lost |
| 1028 | 1037 | 49% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
Attacking (12 wins) average ELOs: 1038.9 vs 1055.5 has a 47.62% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).