Jungle Fighters
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 177 (37 on the archive and 140 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 80
Defender wins (British / Australian): 96
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 974 | 962 | 52% | 2026-01-14 | | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2023-10-07 | | Lost |
| 818 | 1056 | 20% | 2023-08-14 | | Won |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2022-08-15 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-09-26 | | Lost |
| 979 | 877 | 64% | 2021-05-06 | | Lost |
| 1171 | 1219 | 43% | 2019-12-17 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 2018-11-12 | | Won |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 2018-10-03 | | Lost |
| 1147 | 850 | 85% | 2018-07-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2017-11-03 | | Lost |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2017-03-26 | | Lost |
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2016-03-13 | | Lost |
| 1113 | 1059 | 58% | 2014-11-09 | | Won |
| 969 | 1062 | 37% | 2014-06-21 | | Lost |
| 966 | 1064 | 36% | 2014-04-12 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1033 | 45% | 2014-03-13 | | Won |
| 1062 | 1000 | 59% | 2011-07-16 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1130 | 50% | 2011-04-16 | | Lost |
| 870 | 1026 | 29% | 2011-03-06 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 981 | 82% | 2009-10-08 | | Won |
| 1219 | 1000 | 78% | 2007-09-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1151 | 30% | 2007-08-30 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1219 | 22% | 2007-08-27 | | Tied |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2007-02-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1036 | 45% | 2005-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1056 | 1000 | 58% | 2005-01-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 991 | 51% | 2004-10-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 907 | 63% | 2004-05-24 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 2001-04-04 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2001-01-01 | | Lost |
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2000-06-03 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 1999-11-13 | | Won |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 1999-09-21 | | Won |
| 1240 | 1150 | 63% | 1999-07-31 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1167 | 32% | 1999-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 1988-01-01 | | Won |
Attacking (14 wins) average ELOs: 1036 vs 1035.7 has a 50.05% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).