A Stiff Fight
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 269 (50 on the archive and 219 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 135
Defender wins (Gurkha): 134
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 984 | 869 | 66% | 2025-09-17 | Won |
| 988 | 1025 | 45% | 2025-09-12 | Lost |
| 841 | 1040 | 24% | 2024-12-28 | Won |
| 1127 | 1102 | 54% | 2023-06-04 | Won |
| 1126 | 953 | 73% | 2022-11-10 | Lost |
| 1097 | 954 | 69% | 2022-05-11 | Lost |
| 1030 | 1082 | 43% | 2021-10-18 | Lost |
| 1089 | 944 | 70% | 2021-08-19 | Lost |
| 1097 | 948 | 70% | 2021-03-11 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1223 | 36% | 2021-01-16 | Lost |
| 950 | 923 | 54% | 2020-06-07 | Lost |
| 1120 | 1121 | 50% | 2019-10-11 | Won |
| 1054 | 1000 | 58% | 2019-01-26 | Won |
| 1040 | 1052 | 48% | 2018-03-24 | Won |
| 1173 | 1172 | 50% | 2017-05-28 | Won |
| 1129 | 1129 | 50% | 2017-01-10 | Lost |
| 1202 | 1108 | 63% | 2015-02-19 | Won |
| 1060 | 906 | 71% | 2014-10-11 | Won |
| 1038 | 1020 | 53% | 2014-01-13 | Lost |
| 1144 | 909 | 79% | 2013-12-22 | Lost |
| 1144 | 1060 | 62% | 2013-10-10 | Lost |
| 1060 | 987 | 60% | 2013-06-11 | Won |
| 1150 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-05-27 | Won |
| 870 | 943 | 40% | 2012-08-02 | Won |
| 1008 | 968 | 56% | 2011-10-05 | Won |
| 1130 | 1129 | 50% | 2011-04-16 | Won |
| 984 | 1253 | 18% | 2011-03-10 | Lost |
| 963 | 995 | 45% | 2011-02-19 | Won |
| 1080 | 1155 | 39% | 2010-10-06 | Lost |
| 983 | 1091 | 35% | 2010-02-20 | Won |
| 1121 | 1238 | 34% | 2008-08-30 | Lost |
| 997 | 1058 | 41% | 2008-08-24 | Lost |
| 1269 | 1035 | 79% | 2008-07-22 | Won |
| 1065 | 1263 | 24% | 2007-10-06 | Lost |
| 1073 | 1140 | 40% | 2007-10-03 | Lost |
| 1140 | 1228 | 38% | 2006-10-06 | Lost |
| 970 | 1060 | 37% | 2005-01-23 | Won |
| 970 | 1060 | 37% | 2005-01-23 | Won |
| 987 | 1263 | 17% | 2004-12-12 | Lost |
| 920 | 907 | 52% | 2004-09-18 | Won |
| 1041 | 984 | 58% | 2000-10-28 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1037 | 61% | 1999-11-26 | Won |
| 1026 | 1097 | 40% | 1999-11-13 | Won |
| 1292 | 1263 | 54% | 1999-09-12 | Lost |
| 1113 | 1126 | 48% | 1999-08-01 | Lost |
| 993 | 1021 | 46% | 1999-07-31 | Lost |
| 1190 | 1080 | 65% | 1999-07-06 | Won |
| 985 | 925 | 59% | 1999-05-15 | Won |
| 894 | 1097 | 24% | 1988-01-01 | Won |
| 1010 | 1091 | 39% | | Lost |
Attacking (25 wins) average ELOs: 1059 vs 1060.7 has a 49.76% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).