St. Barthélemy Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 31 (7 on the archive and 24 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 13
Defender wins (American): 18
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 941 | 1000 | 42% | 2013-08-10 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 917 | 62% | 2009-08-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 2004-03-25 | | Won |
| 832 | 1150 | 14% | 2001-12-26 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1058 | 42% | 2001-09-24 | | Lost |
| 1061 | 1000 | 59% | 1999-04-23 | | Lost |
| 1343 | 968 | 90% | 1999-01-06 | | Won |
Attacking (3 wins) average ELOs: 1025.3 vs 1017.4 has a 51.13% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).