St. Barthélemy Bash
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 28 (5 on the archive and 23 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German (SS)): 16
Defender wins (American): 12
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 962 | 1142 | 26% | 2013-08-10 | Lost |
| 952 | 919 | 55% | 2009-08-21 | Won |
| 1000 | 975 | 54% | 2004-03-25 | Won |
| 847 | 1155 | 15% | 2001-12-26 | Lost |
| 1038 | 1038 | 50% | 2001-09-24 | Lost |
Attacking (2 wins) average ELOs: 959.8 vs 1045.8 has a 37.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).