Surrender Or Die
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 111 (13 on the archive and 98 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 61
Defender wins (American): 50
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 1031 | 65% | 2020-09-29 | Won |
| 1031 | 1139 | 35% | 2020-04-02 | Lost |
| 1009 | 993 | 52% | 2020-03-30 | Won |
| 1043 | 1049 | 49% | 2018-05-03 | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2017-01-21 | Lost |
| 846 | 981 | 31% | 2017-01-21 | Lost |
| 1234 | 1127 | 65% | 2016-11-24 | Won |
| 1051 | 1102 | 43% | 2010-08-27 | Won |
| 974 | 1000 | 46% | 2008-07-11 | Won |
| 1149 | 1000 | 70% | 2006-10-23 | Won |
| 1000 | 1149 | 30% | 2006-10-23 | Lost |
| 1015 | 1099 | 38% | 1999-03-29 | Lost |
| 978 | 1159 | 26% | 1997-03-26 | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1024.2 vs 1062.3 has a 44.54% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).