Maggot Hill
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Japanese): 6
Defender wins (American): 6
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 942 | 1028 | 38% | 2025-09-06 | Won |
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2025-04-13 | Won |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2024-01-14 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1108 | 44% | 2015-07-24 | Lost |
| 1106 | 1024 | 62% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1106 | 1039 | 60% | 2011-06-18 | Won |
| 1037 | 953 | 62% | 2006-08-31 | Lost |
| 1011 | 953 | 58% | 2004-07-25 | Lost |
| 1028 | 998 | 54% | 2002-10-01 | Won |
| 1139 | 1017 | 67% | 2000-08-12 | Won |
| 1090 | 1104 | 48% | | Lost |
| 1104 | 830 | 83% | | Lost |
Attacking (6 wins) average ELOs: 1067.9 vs 1015.7 has a 57.46% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).