Tangled Up in Blue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 16
Attacker wins (Japanese): 9
Defender wins (American): 7
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1139 | 1139 | 50% | 2024-11-09 | Lost |
| 1048 | 995 | 58% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 1057 | 1183 | 33% | 2021-11-18 | Won |
| 1057 | 1139 | 38% | 2021-11-17 | Won |
| 1109 | 1029 | 61% | 2021-06-15 | Won |
| 1158 | 983 | 73% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1007 | 952 | 58% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
| 1035 | 1293 | 18% | 2007-07-09 | Lost |
| 1152 | 973 | 74% | 2006-12-16 | Won |
| 1089 | 1152 | 41% | 2006-10-07 | Lost |
| 1128 | 1152 | 47% | 2003-10-07 | Lost |
| 1063 | 1086 | 47% | 1998-12-29 | Won |
| 713 | 1152 | 7% | 1998-05-19 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1121 | 51% | 1997-08-30 | Won |
| 1121 | 1127 | 49% | 1997-08-14 | Won |
| 1104 | 830 | 83% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1069.2 vs 1081.6 has a 48.21% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).