Tangled Up in Blue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (Japanese): 8
Defender wins (American): 4
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1128 | 1128 | 50% | 2024-11-09 | Lost |
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 1019 | 1162 | 31% | 2021-11-18 | Won |
| 1019 | 1241 | 22% | 2021-11-17 | Won |
| 1132 | 977 | 71% | 2021-06-15 | Won |
| 1158 | 983 | 73% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1017 | 950 | 60% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
| 1029 | 1259 | 21% | 2007-07-09 | Lost |
| 1061 | 1086 | 46% | 1998-12-29 | Won |
| 1122 | 1142 | 47% | 1997-08-30 | Won |
| 1142 | 1122 | 53% | 1997-08-14 | Won |
| 1131 | 847 | 84% | | Lost |
Attacking (8 wins) average ELOs: 1081.7 vs 1076.5 has a 50.74% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).