Tangled Up in Blue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 92 (17 on the archive and 75 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 43
Defender wins (American): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1025 | 1025 | 50% | 2024-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1085 | 966 | 66% | 2023-10-20 | | Won |
| 1050 | 1091 | 44% | 2021-11-18 | | Won |
| 1050 | 1133 | 38% | 2021-11-17 | | Won |
| 1064 | 1000 | 59% | 2021-06-15 | | Won |
| 1159 | 1000 | 71% | 2017-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1149 | 1000 | 70% | 2008-11-08 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1269 | 21% | 2007-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2006-12-16 | | Won |
| 1182 | 1141 | 56% | 2006-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1141 | 50% | 2003-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 1999-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 1998-12-29 | | Won |
| 790 | 1141 | 12% | 1998-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1000 | 72% | 1997-08-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 1997-08-14 | | Won |
| 1086 | 832 | 81% | | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1070 vs 1067.5 has a 50.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).