Tangled Up in Blue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 91 (17 on the archive and 74 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Japanese): 42
Defender wins (American): 49
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1023 | 1023 | 50% | 2024-11-09 | | Lost |
| 1021 | 1017 | 51% | 2023-10-20 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1127 | 39% | 2021-11-18 | | Won |
| 1051 | 1140 | 37% | 2021-11-17 | | Won |
| 1099 | 1000 | 64% | 2021-06-15 | | Won |
| 1158 | 1000 | 71% | 2017-03-18 | | Lost |
| 1156 | 1000 | 71% | 2008-11-08 | | Won |
| 1035 | 1269 | 21% | 2007-07-09 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 2006-12-16 | | Won |
| 1137 | 1141 | 49% | 2006-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1138 | 1141 | 50% | 2003-10-07 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1262 | 18% | 1999-11-14 | | Lost |
| 1066 | 1000 | 59% | 1998-12-29 | | Won |
| 767 | 1141 | 10% | 1998-05-19 | | Lost |
| 1096 | 1000 | 63% | 1997-08-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1096 | 37% | 1997-08-14 | | Won |
| 1070 | 832 | 80% | | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1059.4 vs 1069.9 has a 48.48% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).