Tangled Up in Blue
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 17
Attacker wins (Japanese): 9
Defender wins (American): 8
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1006 | 1006 | 50% | 2024-11-09 | Lost |
| 1054 | 988 | 59% | 2023-10-20 | Won |
| 1019 | 1125 | 35% | 2021-11-18 | Won |
| 1019 | 1042 | 47% | 2021-11-17 | Won |
| 1143 | 1178 | 45% | 2021-06-15 | Won |
| 1158 | 937 | 78% | 2017-03-18 | Lost |
| 1038 | 907 | 68% | 2008-11-08 | Won |
| 1035 | 1269 | 21% | 2007-07-09 | Lost |
| 1140 | 972 | 72% | 2006-12-16 | Won |
| 1157 | 1140 | 52% | 2006-10-07 | Lost |
| 1155 | 1140 | 52% | 2003-10-07 | Lost |
| 1292 | 1263 | 54% | 1999-11-14 | Lost |
| 1065 | 1086 | 47% | 1998-12-29 | Won |
| 753 | 1140 | 10% | 1998-05-19 | Lost |
| 1127 | 1182 | 42% | 1997-08-30 | Won |
| 1182 | 1127 | 58% | 1997-08-14 | Won |
| 1091 | 833 | 82% | | Lost |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1084.4 vs 1078.5 has a 50.84% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).