Hamlet's Demise
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 112 (16 on the archive and 96 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (German): 38
Defender wins (French): 73
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (German): 1
Defender wins (French): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1002 | 889 | 66% | 2024-11-06 | Won |
| 971 | 1025 | 42% | 2024-01-28 | Won |
| 1031 | 1012 | 53% | 2023-12-19 | Won |
| 1185 | 1185 | 50% | 2023-11-30 | Won |
| 948 | 1025 | 39% | 2019-10-03 | Won |
| 1003 | 987 | 52% | 2019-04-06 | Won |
| 1035 | 982 | 58% | 2008-06-10 | Won |
| 1204 | 995 | 77% | 2006-01-14 | Won |
| 1058 | 1032 | 54% | 2004-05-20 | Won |
| 1068 | 1062 | 51% | 2001-04-21 | Won |
| 1068 | 1070 | 50% | 2000-09-18 | Won |
| 1070 | 1068 | 50% | 2000-09-04 | Won |
| 1117 | 1003 | 66% | 1999-05-10 | Lost |
| 908 | 1068 | 28% | 1998-10-24 | Won |
| 1100 | 890 | 77% | 1998-02-07 | Won |
| 985 | 1174 | 25% | 1997-09-01 | Won |
Attacking (15 wins) average ELOs: 1047.1 vs 1029.2 has a 52.57% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).