Then Things Got Worse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 10
Attacker wins (French): 6
Defender wins (German): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1022 | 1021 | 50% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 1016 | 987 | 54% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1219 | 1162 | 58% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
| 1219 | 1241 | 47% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
| 1219 | 1029 | 75% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
| 943 | 748 | 75% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 1062 | 1029 | 55% | 2008-12-21 | Lost |
| 1046 | 1189 | 31% | 2006-01-14 | Lost |
| 1014 | 943 | 60% | 1998-09-30 | Won |
| 890 | 1098 | 23% | 1998-01-07 | Won |
Attacking (7 wins) average ELOs: 1065 vs 1044.7 has a 52.92% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).