Then Things Got Worse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 12
Attacker wins (French): 8
Defender wins (German): 3
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Outcome |
|---|
| 1077 | 967 | 65% | 2024-01-26 | Won |
| 999 | 987 | 52% | 2022-03-03 | Won |
| 1218 | 1187 | 54% | 2021-08-10 | Won |
| 1218 | 1170 | 57% | 2021-08-09 | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-01-26 | Won |
| 948 | 1133 | 26% | 2020-01-04 | Lost |
| 1052 | 1035 | 52% | 2008-12-21 | Lost |
| 1005 | 1172 | 28% | 2006-01-14 | Lost |
| 1080 | 1035 | 56% | 1998-09-30 | Won |
| 992 | 1101 | 35% | 1998-01-07 | Won |
| 753 | 1141 | 10% | 1998-01-02 | Won |
| 1263 | 1150 | 66% | 1997-08-31 | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1068.6 vs 1091.3 has a 46.73% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).