Then Things Got Worse
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 75 (12 on the archive and 64 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (French): 31
Defender wins (German): 44
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (French): 1
Defender wins (German): 0
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1072 | 968 | 65% | 2024-01-26 | D | Won |
| 974 | 987 | 48% | 2022-03-03 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1091 | 68% | 2021-08-10 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1150 | 60% | 2021-08-09 | | Won |
| 1218 | 1018 | 76% | 2021-01-26 | | Won |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2020-01-04 | | Lost |
| 1052 | 1035 | 52% | 2008-12-21 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1153 | 29% | 2006-01-14 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 1998-09-30 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1101 | 36% | 1998-01-07 | | Won |
| 780 | 1141 | 11% | 1998-01-02 | | Won |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1997-08-31 | | Won |
Attacking (9 wins) average ELOs: 1065 vs 1053.7 has a 51.63% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).