Scouts Out
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 184 (31 on the archive and 154 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (American): 79
Defender wins (German): 105
With balance for the defender (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (American): 0
Defender wins (German): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1000 | 1059 | 42% | 2026-05-20 | | Won |
| 968 | 1072 | 35% | 2023-12-19 | D | Lost |
| 952 | 1035 | 38% | 2023-04-15 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1000 | 53% | 2022-12-17 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1164 | 28% | 2021-11-01 | | Lost |
| 1077 | 1000 | 61% | 2020-06-22 | | Lost |
| 1226 | 949 | 83% | 2019-10-03 | | Won |
| 1071 | 969 | 64% | 2017-03-11 | | Won |
| 1008 | 1051 | 44% | 2016-11-10 | | Lost |
| 1071 | 1155 | 38% | 2014-01-19 | | Lost |
| 1151 | 1000 | 70% | 2013-10-07 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2008-04-01 | | Lost |
| 1183 | 933 | 81% | 2007-08-28 | | Won |
| 1022 | 1046 | 47% | 2006-05-21 | | Lost |
| 1169 | 1026 | 69% | 2006-05-14 | | Lost |
| 1035 | 1000 | 55% | 2006-01-01 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 907 | 63% | 2003-09-14 | | Won |
| 1150 | 832 | 86% | 2003-03-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1074 | 40% | 2002-05-26 | | Won |
| 1019 | 1343 | 13% | 2001-12-01 | | Lost |
| 991 | 991 | 50% | 2001-04-07 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 1000 | 69% | 1999-10-10 | | Lost |
| 1058 | 1000 | 58% | 1999-06-30 | | Lost |
| 948 | 960 | 48% | 1998-10-23 | | Lost |
| 1242 | 1000 | 80% | 1998-10-23 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1066 | 41% | 1998-08-20 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1029 | 46% | 1998-06-05 | | Lost |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-01-21 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1242 | 20% | 1997-10-18 | | Lost |
| 1167 | 1021 | 70% | 1997-08-28 | | Lost |
| 1150 | 1098 | 57% | 1996-07-29 | | Won |
Attacking (13 wins) average ELOs: 1061.9 vs 1034.9 has a 53.87% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).