The Red Wave
Scenario balance report
Games with no balance used/recorded: 180 (27 on the archive and 154 on ROAR)
Attacker wins (Russian): 64
Defender wins (German (SS)): 116
With balance for the attacker (only):
Games played: 1
Attacker wins (Russian): 0
Defender wins (German (SS)): 1
Scenario Balance Over Time
Range, where the higher the percentage, the more favourable the attacking side is. The range-width is the confidence value.
ELO vs Outcome
| Attacker ELO | Defender ELO | Expected chance to win | Date | Balance | Outcome |
|---|
| 1085 | 966 | 66% | 2023-10-06 | A | Lost |
| 1000 | 1061 | 41% | 2023-03-05 | | Lost |
| 978 | 1283 | 15% | 2022-03-11 | | Lost |
| 1283 | 978 | 85% | 2022-02-25 | | Lost |
| 1017 | 1000 | 52% | 2021-05-01 | | Won |
| 1068 | 986 | 62% | 2021-02-13 | | Lost |
| 948 | 1000 | 43% | 2021-01-25 | | Lost |
| 940 | 963 | 47% | 2021-01-25 | | Lost |
| 1020 | 1000 | 53% | 2020-06-28 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1009 | 49% | 2020-01-11 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1154 | 29% | 2019-05-15 | | Won |
| 1000 | 850 | 70% | 2017-06-19 | | Won |
| 1283 | 874 | 91% | 2016-12-30 | | Won |
| 1173 | 1000 | 73% | 2016-01-24 | | Lost |
| 1022 | 1018 | 51% | 2015-10-28 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 876 | 76% | 2015-06-14 | | Lost |
| 965 | 1183 | 22% | 2008-04-04 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1060 | 41% | 2004-08-22 | | Lost |
| 1080 | 1000 | 61% | 2003-10-01 | | Lost |
| 1141 | 790 | 88% | 2000-11-29 | | Won |
| 1133 | 1000 | 68% | 2000-06-25 | | Won |
| 1141 | 790 | 88% | 1999-08-16 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 1999-07-01 | | Won |
| 1000 | 1167 | 28% | 1999-01-06 | | Lost |
| 1000 | 1080 | 39% | 1998-10-01 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-03-18 | | Won |
| 1101 | 1000 | 64% | 1998-01-14 | | Lost |
Attacking (10 wins) average ELOs: 1057.7 vs 1006.2 has a 57.36% of winning (if the scenario was perfectly balanced).